What markets are included in the Lille vs Auxerre prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lille vs Auxerre prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lille vs Auxerre

Lille vs Auxerre prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Ligue 1 2025-04-20 13:00

Lille

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

59%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Auxerre

Away

Prediction Summary

54%

22%

24%

Over 2.5

59%

BTTS Yes

59%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Lille (Home)

Goals scored / match1.82

Goals conceded / match1.06

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate76%

Auxerre (Away)

Goals scored / match1.41

Goals conceded / match2

Over 2.5 rate12%

BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lille

WLDWW

Auxerre

LDLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 82%

53% +1.5 41%

24% +2.5 12%

6% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

76% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lille averages 1.82 goals scored at home, while Auxerre averages 1.41 goals scored away.

Model Strength

59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

54%

Draw

22%

Away Win

24%

Over 2.5

59%

BTTS Yes

59%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Lille 0 - 2 Auxerre Away

Dec 2025 Lille(A) 4 - 3 Auxerre Home

Apr 2025 Lille 3 - 1 Auxerre Home

Jan 2025 Lille(A) 0 - 0 Auxerre Draw

Apr 2023 Lille(A) 1 - 1 Auxerre Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Lille won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Lille — unbeaten run (home)6

Lille — scoring streak (home)17

Auxerre — winless run (away)1

Auxerre — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lille Win (1)54%

Draw (X)22%

Auxerre Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 82%

53% +1.5 41%

24% +2.5 12%

6% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 18%

47% -1.5 59%

76% -2.5 88%

94% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 100%

Lille vs Auxerre — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lille — scored (home)1.82

Lille — conceded (home)1.06

Auxerre — scored (away)1.41

Auxerre — conceded (away)2

Model expected combined goals3.07

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%

No41%

Rate per Team

Lille — BTTS matches (home)76%

Auxerre — BTTS matches (away)65%

Combined (simple average)70.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%

Under 4.512%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.580%

Under 6.520%

Over 7.568%

Under 7.532%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.544%

Under 9.556%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lille (home)

Corners for5.1

Corners against3.9

Auxerre (away)

Corners for4.3

Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lille

12 9 7 10 13

Auxerre

12 9 9 10 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Lille (home)

For1.8

Auxerre (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Lille — total shots (home)12.9

Auxerre — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Lille — on target (home)5.2

Auxerre — on target (away)4.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lille

Inside the box9.03

Outside the box3.74

Auxerre

Inside the box7.32

Outside the box3.85

Player Shots Lille

Tiago Santos

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target29%

J. David

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target31%

C. Akpom

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target21%

O. Sahraoui

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target7%

André Gomes

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target10%

+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Auxerre

R. Raveloson

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target23%

+1.5 On Target15%

G. Perrin

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target18%

K. Danois

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target5%

T. Bair

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target10%

A. Onaiwu

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lille xG (home)1.64

Auxerre xG (away)1.23

Average Possession

57.94% Possession 42.47%

Team Comparison Lille vs Auxerre

86.21% Pass accuracy 78.35%

541.15 Passes per match 376.76

0.26 Goals prevented 0.1

12.06 Fouls committed 11.88

2.82 Goalkeeper saves 3.76

1.5 Offsides 1.41

18.41 Tackles per match 19.32

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lille vs Auxerre prediction analysis

Review Lille vs Auxerre with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights