What markets are included in the Lille vs Borussia Dortmund prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lille vs Borussia Dortmund prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lille vs Borussia Dortmund

Lille vs Borussia Dortmund prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-03-12 17:45

Lille

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

69%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Borussia Dortmund

Away

Prediction Summary

46%

22%

32%

Over 2.5

69%

BTTS Yes

69%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Lille (Home)

Goals scored / match2.29

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate29%

BTTS rate71%

Borussia Dortmund (Away)

Goals scored / match2

Goals conceded / match1.71

Over 2.5 rate43%

BTTS rate43%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lille

LDWLW

Borussia Dortmund

WLWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 86%

57% +1.5 71%

29% +2.5 43%

14% +3.5 0%

14% +4.5 0%

71% BTTS 43%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 69%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lille averages 2.29 goals scored at home, while Borussia Dortmund averages 2 goals scored away.

Model Strength

69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

46%

Draw

22%

Away Win

32%

Over 2.5

69%

BTTS Yes

69%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2025 Lille 1 - 2 Borussia Dortmund Away

Mar 2025 Lille(A) 1 - 1 Borussia Dortmund Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Lille won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Lille — unbeaten run (home)0

Lille — scoring streak (home)7

Borussia Dortmund — winless run (away)1

Borussia Dortmund — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lille Win (1)46%

Draw (X)22%

Borussia Dortmund Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 86%

57% +1.5 71%

29% +2.5 43%

14% +3.5 0%

14% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 14%

43% -1.5 29%

71% -2.5 57%

86% -3.5 100%

86% -4.5 100%

Lille vs Borussia Dortmund — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lille — scored (home)2.29

Lille — conceded (home)1

Borussia Dortmund — scored (away)2

Borussia Dortmund — conceded (away)1.71

Model expected combined goals3.57

Both Teams To Score

Yes69%

No31%

Rate per Team

Lille — BTTS matches (home)71%

Borussia Dortmund — BTTS matches (away)43%

Combined (simple average)57%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.586%

Under 5.514%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.565%

Under 7.535%

Over 8.557%

Under 8.543%

Over 9.557%

Under 9.543%

Over 10.543%

Under 10.557%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lille (home)

Corners for4.6

Corners against3.4

Borussia Dortmund (away)

Corners for5.3

Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lille

11 6 12 6 7

Borussia Dortmund

8 6 7 10 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.593%

Under 1.57%

Over 2.557%

Under 2.543%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Lille (home)

For2.0

Borussia Dortmund (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

Lille — total shots (home)12.4

Borussia Dortmund — total shots (away)13.0

Shots on Target

Lille — on target (home)5.3

Borussia Dortmund — on target (away)5.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lille

Inside the box6.57

Outside the box4.21

Borussia Dortmund

Inside the box10.43

Outside the box3.79

Player Shots Lille

M. Bakker

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

N. Mukau

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

E. Zhegrova

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target22%

J. David

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target29%

A. Gomes

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target93%

+1.5 On Target50%

J. Duranville

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target11%

+1.5 On Target11%

K. Adeyemi

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target40%

D. Malen

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target40%

J. Brandt

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lille xG (home)1.2

Borussia Dortmund xG (away)2.01

Average Possession

50.79% Possession 51.79%

Team Comparison Lille vs Borussia Dortmund

82.64% Pass accuracy 85.29%

473.07 Passes per match 499.14

-0.08 Goals prevented 0.08

11.43 Fouls committed 12.29

3.92 Goalkeeper saves 3.23

1.29 Offsides 2.54

14.64 Tackles per match 19.29

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lille vs Borussia Dortmund prediction analysis

Review Lille vs Borussia Dortmund with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights