What markets are included in the Lille vs Estac Troyes prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lille vs Estac Troyes prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lille vs Estac Troyes

Lille vs Estac Troyes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-09-12 15:00

Lille

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

55%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Estac Troyes

Away

Prediction Summary

55%

23%

22%

+2.5 Goals

55%

BTTS

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Lille (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate47%

Estac Troyes (Away)

Goals scored / match0

Goals conceded / match0

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lille

LWDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 0%

24% +1.5 0%

18% +2.5 0%

12% +3.5 0%

6% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lille averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while Estac Troyes averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength

55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

55%

Draw

23%

Away Win

22%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

55%

Head-to-Head last 4

Jun 2023 Lille(A) 1 - 1 Estac Troyes Draw

Jan 2023 Lille 5 - 1 Estac Troyes Home

May 2022 Lille(A) 0 - 3 Estac Troyes Away

Dec 2021 Lille 2 - 1 Estac Troyes Home

In the last 4 meetings, Lille won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Lille — unbeaten run (home)0

Lille — scoring streak (home)0

1X2 Probability model

Lille Win (1)55%

Draw (X)23%

Estac Troyes Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 0%

24% +1.5 0%

18% +2.5 0%

12% +3.5 0%

6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 100%

76% -1.5 100%

82% -2.5 100%

88% -3.5 100%

94% -4.5 100%

Lille vs Estac Troyes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lille — scored (home)1.41

Lille — conceded (home)1

Estac Troyes — scored (away)0

Estac Troyes — conceded (away)0

Model expected combined goals2.9

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%

No45%

Rate per Team

Lille — BTTS matches (home)47%

Estac Troyes — BTTS matches (away)0%

Combined (simple average)23.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%

Under 8.543%

Over 9.546%

Under 9.554%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lille (home)

Corners for6.4

Corners against3.6

Estac Troyes (away)

Corners forâ€”

Corners againstâ€”

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lille

8 10 19 7 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%

Under 0.550%

Over 1.544%

Under 1.556%

Over 2.536%

Under 2.564%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Lille (home)

For2.0

Estac Troyes (away)

Forâ€”

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.568%

Under 19.532%

Over 22.553%

Under 22.547%

Over 25.540%

Under 25.560%

Expected total shots24.08

Lille

Shots Over 9.579%

Shots Over 11.565%

Shots Over 13.551%

Expected shots14.15

On Target Over 3.570%

On Target Over 4.555%

On Target Over 5.540%

Expected on target5.12

Estac Troyes

Shots Over 9.550%

Shots Over 11.532%

Shots Over 13.519%

Expected shots9.93

On Target Over 3.547%

On Target Over 4.530%

On Target Over 5.518%

Expected on target3.61

Shots per Game

Lille — total shots (home)14.8

Estac Troyes — total shots (away)â€”

Shots on Target

Lille — on target (home)4.8

Estac Troyes — on target (away)â€”

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lille

Inside the box9.56

Outside the box4.06

Estac Troyes

Inside the box-

Outside the box-

Player Shots Lille

M. Fernandez-Pardo

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target31%

H. Igamane

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target15%

O. Giroud

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target10%

H. Haraldsson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

S. Diaoune

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Estac Troyes

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lille xG (home)1.63

Estac Troyes xG (away)-

Average Possession

55.85% Possession -%

Team Comparison Lille vs Estac Troyes

85.09% Pass accuracy 0%

496.88 Passes per match -

0.2 Goals prevented -

10.88 Fouls committed -

2.24 Goalkeeper saves -

1.47 Offsides -

15.15 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lille vs Estac Troyes prediction analysis

Review Lille vs Estac Troyes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights