What markets are included in the Lille vs Le Havre prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lille vs Le Havre prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lille vs Le Havre

Lille vs Le Havre prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-10-10 15:00

Lille

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

41%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Le Havre

Away

Prediction Summary

52%

27%

22%

+2.5 Goals

41%

BTTS

44%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Lille (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate47%

Le Havre (Away)

Goals scored / match0.71

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lille

LWDWD

Le Havre

WLDDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 53%

24% +1.5 18%

18% +2.5 0%

12% +3.5 0%

6% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lille averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while Le Havre averages 0.71 goals scored away.

Model Strength

59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

52%

Draw

27%

Away Win

22%

Over 2.5

41%

BTTS Yes

44%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Lille 1 - 1 Le Havre Draw

Nov 2025 Lille(A) 1 - 0 Le Havre Home

Feb 2025 Lille 1 - 2 Le Havre Away

Sep 2024 Lille(A) 3 - 0 Le Havre Home

Feb 2024 Lille 3 - 0 Le Havre Home

In the last 5 meetings, Lille won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Lille — unbeaten run (home)0

Lille — scoring streak (home)0

Le Havre — winless run (away)0

Le Havre — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lille Win (1)52%

Draw (X)27%

Le Havre Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 53%

24% +1.5 18%

18% +2.5 0%

12% +3.5 0%

6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 47%

76% -1.5 82%

82% -2.5 100%

88% -3.5 100%

94% -4.5 100%

Lille vs Le Havre — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lille — scored (home)1.41

Lille — conceded (home)1

Le Havre — scored (away)0.71

Le Havre — conceded (away)1.53

Model expected combined goals2.32

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%

No56%

Rate per Team

Lille — BTTS matches (home)47%

Le Havre — BTTS matches (away)41%

Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%

Under 8.543%

Over 9.546%

Under 9.554%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lille (home)

Corners for6.4

Corners against3.6

Le Havre (away)

Corners for3.7

Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lille

8 10 19 7 6

Le Havre

7 10 19 3 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.588%

Under 1.512%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Lille (home)

For2.0

Le Havre (away)

For2.1

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.567%

Under 19.533%

Over 22.553%

Under 22.547%

Over 25.539%

Under 25.561%

Expected total shots23.93

Lille

Shots Over 9.580%

Shots Over 11.566%

Shots Over 13.551%

Expected shots14.26

On Target Over 3.569%

On Target Over 4.553%

On Target Over 5.538%

Expected on target5.00

Le Havre

Shots Over 9.547%

Shots Over 11.530%

Shots Over 13.517%

Expected shots9.67

On Target Over 3.544%

On Target Over 4.527%

On Target Over 5.516%

Expected on target3.43

Shots per Game

Lille — total shots (home)14.8

Le Havre — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Lille — on target (home)4.8

Le Havre — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lille

Inside the box9.56

Outside the box4.06

Le Havre

Inside the box6.76

Outside the box4.18

Player Shots Lille

M. Fernandez-Pardo

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target31%

H. Igamane

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target15%

O. Giroud

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target10%

H. Haraldsson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

S. Diaoune

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Le Havre

I. Soumaré

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target21%

N. Obougoujacquet

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target0%

M. Samatta

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target11%

R. Khadra

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target13%

A. Touré

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lille xG (home)1.63

Le Havre xG (away)1.13

Average Possession

55.85% Possession 46.82%

Team Comparison Lille vs Le Havre

85.09% Pass accuracy 80.29%

496.88 Passes per match 376.03

0.2 Goals prevented -0.05

10.88 Fouls committed 13.71

2.24 Goalkeeper saves 3

1.47 Offsides 2.3

15.15 Tackles per match 17.44

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lille vs Le Havre prediction analysis

Review Lille vs Le Havre with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights