What markets are included in the Lille vs Metz prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lille vs Metz prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lille vs Metz

Lille vs Metz prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-10-26 14:00

Lille

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

63%

Confidence

High

Score

2-0

Metz

Away

Prediction Summary

71%

17%

12%

Over 2.5

63%

BTTS Yes

53%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Lille (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate47%

Metz (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match2.59

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lille

LWDWD

Metz

DLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 59%

24% +1.5 29%

18% +2.5 6%

12% +3.5 6%

6% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is High.

Lille averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while Metz averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

71%

Draw

17%

Away Win

12%

Over 2.5

63%

BTTS Yes

53%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Lille(A) 0 - 0 Metz Draw

Oct 2025 Lille 6 - 1 Metz Home

Apr 2024 Lille(A) 2 - 1 Metz Home

Dec 2023 Lille 2 - 0 Metz Home

Feb 2022 Lille 0 - 0 Metz Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Lille won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Lille — unbeaten run (home)0

Lille — scoring streak (home)0

Metz — winless run (away)11

Metz — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lille Win (1)71%

Draw (X)17%

Metz Win (2)12%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 59%

24% +1.5 29%

18% +2.5 6%

12% +3.5 6%

6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 41%

76% -1.5 71%

82% -2.5 94%

88% -3.5 94%

94% -4.5 100%

Lille vs Metz — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lille — scored (home)1.41

Lille — conceded (home)1

Metz — scored (away)1

Metz — conceded (away)2.59

Model expected combined goals3.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%

No47%

Rate per Team

Lille — BTTS matches (home)47%

Metz — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.568%

Under 7.532%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.547%

Under 9.553%

Over 10.538%

Under 10.562%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lille (home)

Corners for6.4

Corners against3.6

Metz (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lille

8 10 19 7 6

Metz

11 10 14 11 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Lille (home)

For2.0

Metz (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Lille — total shots (home)14.8

Metz — total shots (away)8.4

Shots on Target

Lille — on target (home)4.8

Metz — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lille

Inside the box9.56

Outside the box4.06

Metz

Inside the box6.26

Outside the box3.79

Player Shots Lille

M. Fernandez-Pardo

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target31%

H. Igamane

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target15%

O. Giroud

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target10%

H. Haraldsson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

S. Diaoune

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Metz

G. Kvilitaia

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target10%

H. Diallo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target12%

G. Hein

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target7%

G. Abuashvili

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target4%

K. Kouao

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lille xG (home)1.63

Metz xG (away)1.03

Average Possession

55.85% Possession 48.94%

Team Comparison Lille vs Metz

85.09% Pass accuracy 85.24%

496.88 Passes per match 451.74

0.2 Goals prevented 0.07

10.88 Fouls committed 11.38

2.24 Goalkeeper saves 3.62

1.47 Offsides 1.5

15.15 Tackles per match 16.71

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lille vs Metz prediction analysis

Review Lille vs Metz with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights