What markets are included in the Lille vs Montpellier prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lille vs Montpellier prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lille vs Montpellier

Lille vs Montpellier prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-03-08 18:00

Lille

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

56%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-0

Montpellier

Away

Prediction Summary

66%

20%

14%

Over 2.5

56%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Lille (Home)

Goals scored / match1.82

Goals conceded / match1.06

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate76%

Montpellier (Away)

Goals scored / match0.35

Goals conceded / match2.24

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate24%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lille

WLDWW

Montpellier

LLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 24%

53% +1.5 12%

24% +2.5 0%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

76% BTTS 24%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lille averages 1.82 goals scored at home, while Montpellier averages 0.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength

66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

66%

Draw

20%

Away Win

14%

Over 2.5

56%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2025 Lille 1 - 0 Montpellier Home

Dec 2024 Lille(A) 2 - 2 Montpellier Draw

Jan 2024 Lille(A) 0 - 0 Montpellier Draw

Sep 2023 Lille 1 - 0 Montpellier Home

Apr 2023 Lille 2 - 1 Montpellier Home

In the last 5 meetings, Lille won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Lille — unbeaten run (home)6

Lille — scoring streak (home)17

Montpellier — winless run (away)8

Montpellier — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lille Win (1)66%

Draw (X)20%

Montpellier Win (2)14%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 24%

53% +1.5 12%

24% +2.5 0%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 76%

47% -1.5 88%

76% -2.5 100%

94% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Lille vs Montpellier — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lille — scored (home)1.82

Lille — conceded (home)1.06

Montpellier — scored (away)0.35

Montpellier — conceded (away)2.24

Model expected combined goals2.95

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Lille — BTTS matches (home)76%

Montpellier — BTTS matches (away)24%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%

Under 4.59%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.586%

Under 6.514%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.547%

Under 8.553%

Over 9.538%

Under 9.562%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lille (home)

Corners for5.1

Corners against3.9

Montpellier (away)

Corners for4.0

Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lille

12 9 7 10 13

Montpellier

9 10 10 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.597%

Under 1.53%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Lille (home)

For1.8

Montpellier (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Lille — total shots (home)12.9

Montpellier — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Lille — on target (home)5.2

Montpellier — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lille

Inside the box9.03

Outside the box3.74

Montpellier

Inside the box6.24

Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Lille

Tiago Santos

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target29%

J. David

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target31%

C. Akpom

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target21%

O. Sahraoui

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target7%

André Gomes

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target10%

+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Montpellier

A. Delort

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target22%

A. Adams

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target20%

O. Maamma

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target8%

A. Nordin

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target25%

T. Savanier

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lille xG (home)1.64

Montpellier xG (away)1.02

Average Possession

57.94% Possession 44.97%

Team Comparison Lille vs Montpellier

86.21% Pass accuracy 80.53%

541.15 Passes per match 388.79

0.26 Goals prevented -0.1

12.06 Fouls committed 12.56

2.82 Goalkeeper saves 3.5

1.5 Offsides 2.1

18.41 Tackles per match 19

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lille vs Montpellier prediction analysis

Review Lille vs Montpellier with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights