What markets are included in the Lille vs Paris FC prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lille vs Paris FC prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lille vs Paris FC

Lille vs Paris FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-11-23 19:45

Lille

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

50%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Paris FC

Away

Prediction Summary

57%

23%

20%

O/U 2.5 · No edge

50%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Lille (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate47%

Paris FC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.12

Goals conceded / match1.35

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lille

LWDWD

Paris FC

WLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 76%

24% +1.5 29%

18% +2.5 6%

12% +3.5 0%

6% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lille averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while Paris FC averages 1.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

57%

Draw

23%

Away Win

20%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2026 Lille(A) 1 - 0 Paris FC Home

Nov 2025 Lille 4 - 2 Paris FC Home

In the last 2 meetings, Lille won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Lille — unbeaten run (home)0

Lille — scoring streak (home)0

Paris FC — winless run (away)1

Paris FC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lille Win (1)57%

Draw (X)23%

Paris FC Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 76%

24% +1.5 29%

18% +2.5 6%

12% +3.5 0%

6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 24%

76% -1.5 71%

82% -2.5 94%

88% -3.5 100%

94% -4.5 100%

Lille vs Paris FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lille — scored (home)1.41

Lille — conceded (home)1

Paris FC — scored (away)1.12

Paris FC — conceded (away)1.35

Model expected combined goals2.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Lille — BTTS matches (home)47%

Paris FC — BTTS matches (away)71%

Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.562%

Under 8.538%

Over 9.556%

Under 9.544%

Over 10.544%

Under 10.556%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lille (home)

Corners for6.4

Corners against3.6

Paris FC (away)

Corners for3.2

Corners against6.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lille

8 10 19 7 6

Paris FC

11 10 10 10 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.585%

Under 1.515%

Over 2.565%

Under 2.535%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Lille (home)

For2.0

Paris FC (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Lille — total shots (home)14.8

Paris FC — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Lille — on target (home)4.8

Paris FC — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lille

Inside the box9.56

Outside the box4.06

Paris FC

Inside the box7.79

Outside the box3.88

Player Shots Lille

M. Fernandez-Pardo

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target31%

H. Igamane

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target15%

O. Giroud

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target10%

H. Haraldsson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

S. Diaoune

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Paris FC

I. Kebbal

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target10%

L. Koleosho

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target19%

M. Munetsi

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target7%

R. Matondo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target9%

C. Immobile

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lille xG (home)1.63

Paris FC xG (away)1.32

Average Possession

55.85% Possession 50.38%

Team Comparison Lille vs Paris FC

85.09% Pass accuracy 84.03%

496.88 Passes per match 467.88

0.2 Goals prevented 0

10.88 Fouls committed 10.65

2.24 Goalkeeper saves 2.56

1.47 Offsides 2.21

15.15 Tackles per match 15.68

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lille vs Paris FC prediction analysis

Review Lille vs Paris FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights