Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Lincoln vs Portsmouth

Lincoln vs Portsmouth prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2026-08-22 11:30
Lincoln
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Portsmouth
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
25%
2
27%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Lincoln (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Portsmouth (Away)

Goals scored / match1.04
Goals conceded / match1.78
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate61%

Team Form last 5 matches

Portsmouth
DWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 74%
0% +1.5 17%
0% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 61%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Lincoln averages 0 goals scored at home, while Portsmouth averages 1.04 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
25%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

Portsmouth — winless run (away)0
Portsmouth — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lincoln Win (1)48%
Draw (X)25%
Portsmouth Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 74%
0% +1.5 17%
0% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 26%
100% -1.5 83%
100% -2.5 87%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Lincoln vs Portsmouth — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lincoln — scored (home)0
Lincoln — conceded (home)0
Portsmouth — scored (away)1.04
Portsmouth — conceded (away)1.78
Model expected combined goals2.71

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Lincoln — BTTS matches (home)0%
Portsmouth — BTTS matches (away)61%
Combined (simple average)30.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lincoln (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Portsmouth (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Portsmouth
10 12 3 9 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.542%
Under 1.558%
Over 2.531%
Under 2.569%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Lincoln (home)

For—

Portsmouth (away)

For2.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.569%
Under 19.531%
Over 22.553%
Under 22.547%
Over 25.539%
Under 25.561%
Expected total shots23.88

Lincoln

Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.564%
Shots Over 13.548%
Expected shots13.70
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.547%
On Target Over 5.532%
Expected on target4.58

Portsmouth

Shots Over 9.553%
Shots Over 11.534%
Shots Over 13.520%
Expected shots10.18
On Target Over 3.542%
On Target Over 4.525%
On Target Over 5.514%
Expected on target3.34

Shots per Game

Lincoln — total shots (home)—
Portsmouth — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

Lincoln — on target (home)—
Portsmouth — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lincoln

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Portsmouth

Inside the box7.93
Outside the box4.26

Player Shots Lincoln

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Portsmouth

J. Murphy
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
C. Lang
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Kirk
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
F. Bianchini
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target20%
M. Alli
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lincoln xG (home)-
Portsmouth xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

-% Possession 50.43%

Team Comparison Lincoln vs Portsmouth

0% Pass accuracy 73.96%
- Passes per match 370.83
- Goals prevented -0.09
- Fouls committed 10.15
- Goalkeeper saves 2.6
- Offsides 1.77
- Tackles per match 13.7

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lincoln vs Portsmouth prediction and preview

Preview Lincoln vs Portsmouth with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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