Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Lincoln vs Portsmouth

Lincoln vs Portsmouth prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2026-08-22 11:30
Lincoln
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Portsmouth
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
25%
2
27%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Lincoln (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Portsmouth (Away)

Goals scored / match1.04
Goals conceded / match1.78
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate61%

Team Form last 5 matches

Portsmouth
DWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 74%
0% +1.5 17%
0% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 61%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Low.

Lincoln averages 0 goals scored at home, while Portsmouth averages 1.04 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
25%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

Portsmouth — winless run (away)0
Portsmouth — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lincoln Win (1)48%
Draw (X)25%
Portsmouth Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 74%
0% +1.5 17%
0% +2.5 13%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 26%
100% -1.5 83%
100% -2.5 87%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Lincoln vs Portsmouth — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lincoln — scored (home)0
Lincoln — conceded (home)0
Portsmouth — scored (away)1.04
Portsmouth — conceded (away)1.78
Model expected combined goals2.71

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Lincoln — BTTS matches (home)0%
Portsmouth — BTTS matches (away)61%
Combined (simple average)30.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lincoln (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Portsmouth (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Portsmouth
10 12 3 9 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.542%
Under 1.558%
Over 2.531%
Under 2.569%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Lincoln (home)

For—

Portsmouth (away)

For2.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.569%
Under 19.531%
Over 22.553%
Under 22.547%
Over 25.539%
Under 25.561%
Expected total shots23.88

Lincoln

Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.564%
Shots Over 13.548%
Expected shots13.70
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.547%
On Target Over 5.532%
Expected on target4.58

Portsmouth

Shots Over 9.553%
Shots Over 11.534%
Shots Over 13.520%
Expected shots10.18
On Target Over 3.542%
On Target Over 4.525%
On Target Over 5.514%
Expected on target3.34

Shots per Game

Lincoln — total shots (home)—
Portsmouth — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

Lincoln — on target (home)—
Portsmouth — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lincoln

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Portsmouth

Inside the box7.93
Outside the box4.26

Player Shots Lincoln

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Portsmouth

J. Murphy
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
C. Lang
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Kirk
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
F. Bianchini
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target20%
M. Alli
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lincoln xG (home)-
Portsmouth xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

-% Possession 50.43%

Team Comparison Lincoln vs Portsmouth

0% Pass accuracy 73.96%
- Passes per match 370.83
- Goals prevented -0.09
- Fouls committed 10.15
- Goalkeeper saves 2.6
- Offsides 1.77
- Tackles per match 13.7

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lincoln vs Portsmouth prediction analysis

Review Lincoln vs Portsmouth with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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