What markets are included in the Liverpool vs Everton prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Liverpool vs Everton prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Liverpool vs Everton

Liverpool vs Everton prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-04-02 19:00

Liverpool

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

47%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Everton

Away

Prediction Summary

60%

23%

16%

Under 2.5

53%

BTTS No

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Liverpool (Home)

Goals scored / match2.21

Goals conceded / match0.84

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate63%

Everton (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84

Goals conceded / match1.11

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Liverpool

DLDLW

Everton

WWWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 58%

84% +1.5 21%

26% +2.5 5%

11% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

63% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Medium.

Liverpool averages 2.21 goals scored at home, while Everton averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

60%

Draw

23%

Away Win

16%

Over 2.5

47%

BTTS Yes

45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Liverpool(A) 2 - 1 Everton Home

Sep 2025 Liverpool 2 - 1 Everton Home

Apr 2025 Liverpool 1 - 0 Everton Home

Feb 2025 Liverpool(A) 2 - 2 Everton Draw

Apr 2024 Liverpool(A) 0 - 2 Everton Away

In the last 5 meetings, Liverpool won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Liverpool — unbeaten run (home)17

Liverpool — scoring streak (home)17

Everton — winless run (away)0

Everton — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Liverpool Win (1)60%

Draw (X)23%

Everton Win (2)16%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 58%

84% +1.5 21%

26% +2.5 5%

11% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 42%

16% -1.5 79%

74% -2.5 95%

89% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Liverpool vs Everton — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Liverpool — scored (home)2.21

Liverpool — conceded (home)0.84

Everton — scored (away)0.84

Everton — conceded (away)1.11

Model expected combined goals2.54

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%

No55%

Rate per Team

Liverpool — BTTS matches (home)63%

Everton — BTTS matches (away)37%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.590%

Under 6.510%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.563%

Under 9.537%

Over 10.548%

Under 10.552%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Liverpool (home)

Corners for6.4

Corners against4.1

Everton (away)

Corners for3.9

Corners against6.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Liverpool

10 9 4 6 11

Everton

12 5 10 9 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Liverpool (home)

For1.7

Everton (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Liverpool — total shots (home)16.5

Everton — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Liverpool — on target (home)5.9

Everton — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Liverpool

Inside the box12.63

Outside the box4.42

Everton

Inside the box7.34

Outside the box3.34

Player Shots Liverpool

J. Gomez

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target11%

+1.5 On Target11%

Mohamed Salah

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target87%

+1.5 On Target47%

L. Díaz

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target22%

D. Núñez

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target13%

A. Robertson

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target6%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Everton

C. Alcaraz

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target13%

Beto

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target30%

J. O'Brien

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target10%

+1.5 On Target5%

D. Calvert-Lewin

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target19%

I. Ndiaye

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Liverpool xG (home)2.19

Everton xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

57.95% Possession 40.61%

Team Comparison Liverpool vs Everton

85.95% Pass accuracy 77.95%

528.89 Passes per match 351.29

-0.08 Goals prevented 0.05

11.32 Fouls committed 11.32

2.79 Goalkeeper saves 3.21

1.58 Offsides 2.31

17.05 Tackles per match 19.26

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Liverpool vs Everton prediction analysis

Review Liverpool vs Everton with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights