Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest

Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2026-08-29 11:30
Liverpool
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Nottingham Forest
Away

Prediction Summary

1
46%
X
24%
2
30%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Liverpool (Home)

Goals scored / match1.79
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate68%

Nottingham Forest (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Liverpool
DLDLW
Nottingham Forest
DLDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 74%
47% +1.5 42%
21% +2.5 21%
16% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 5%
68% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Liverpool averages 1.79 goals scored at home, while Nottingham Forest averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
46%
Draw
24%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Liverpool(A) 1 - 0 Nottingham Forest Home
Nov 2025 Liverpool 0 - 3 Nottingham Forest Away
Jan 2025 Liverpool(A) 1 - 1 Nottingham Forest Draw
Sep 2024 Liverpool 0 - 1 Nottingham Forest Away
Mar 2024 Liverpool(A) 1 - 0 Nottingham Forest Home

In the last 5 meetings, Liverpool won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Liverpool — unbeaten run (home)6
Liverpool — scoring streak (home)9
Nottingham Forest — winless run (away)1
Nottingham Forest — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Liverpool Win (1)46%
Draw (X)24%
Nottingham Forest Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 74%
47% +1.5 42%
21% +2.5 21%
16% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 26%
53% -1.5 58%
79% -2.5 79%
84% -3.5 95%
95% -4.5 95%

Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Liverpool — scored (home)1.79
Liverpool — conceded (home)1.05
Nottingham Forest — scored (away)1.47
Nottingham Forest — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals2.9

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Liverpool — BTTS matches (home)68%
Nottingham Forest — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)57.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Liverpool (home)

Corners for6.3
Corners against4.8

Nottingham Forest (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Liverpool
13 5 7 13 16
Nottingham Forest
9 11 3 13 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.569%
Under 2.531%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Liverpool (home)

For1.3

Nottingham Forest (away)

For1.9

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.577%
Under 19.523%
Over 22.564%
Under 22.536%
Over 25.551%
Under 25.549%
Expected total shots26.63

Liverpool

Shots Over 9.586%
Shots Over 11.576%
Shots Over 13.563%
Expected shots16.06
On Target Over 3.573%
On Target Over 4.558%
On Target Over 5.543%
Expected on target5.29

Nottingham Forest

Shots Over 9.555%
Shots Over 11.538%
Shots Over 13.524%
Expected shots10.57
On Target Over 3.552%
On Target Over 4.535%
On Target Over 5.521%
Expected on target3.87

Shots per Game

Liverpool — total shots (home)17.2
Nottingham Forest — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Liverpool — on target (home)5.2
Nottingham Forest — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Liverpool

Inside the box10.08
Outside the box5.39

Nottingham Forest

Inside the box7.79
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Liverpool

Mohamed Salah
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target19%
H. Ekitike
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target18%
D. Szoboszlai
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target8%
C. Gakpo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target11%
F. Wirtz
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Nottingham Forest

M. Gibbs-White
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target16%
C. Wood
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target13%
Igor Jesus
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target11%
N. Williams
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target14%
T. Awoniyi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Liverpool xG (home)1.6
Nottingham Forest xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

59.21% Possession 46.76%

Team Comparison Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest

85.37% Pass accuracy 81%
530.95 Passes per match 408.34
-0.26 Goals prevented -0.01
9.95 Fouls committed 10.89
2.7 Goalkeeper saves 2.87
2.11 Offsides 1.69
12.97 Tackles per match 16.95

League average xG this season is 1.4 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest prediction analysis

Review Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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