What markets are included in the Liverpool vs PSV Eindhoven prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Liverpool vs PSV Eindhoven prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Liverpool vs PSV Eindhoven

Liverpool vs PSV Eindhoven prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-11-26 20:00

Liverpool

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

66%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

PSV Eindhoven

Away

Prediction Summary

51%

22%

27%

Over 2.5

66%

BTTS Yes

66%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Liverpool (Home)

Goals scored / match2.5

Goals conceded / match1.33

Over 2.5 rate50%

BTTS rate33%

PSV Eindhoven (Away)

Goals scored / match1.5

Goals conceded / match1.5

Over 2.5 rate25%

BTTS rate75%

Team Form last 5 matches

Liverpool

LLWLW

PSV Eindhoven

LLLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 75%

50% +1.5 25%

50% +2.5 25%

33% +3.5 25%

17% +4.5 0%

33% BTTS 75%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 66%. Model confidence is Medium.

Liverpool averages 2.5 goals scored at home, while PSV Eindhoven averages 1.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength

66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

51%

Draw

22%

Away Win

27%

Over 2.5

66%

BTTS Yes

66%

Head-to-Head last 2

Nov 2025 Liverpool 1 - 4 PSV Eindhoven Away

Jan 2025 Liverpool(A) 2 - 3 PSV Eindhoven Away

In the last 2 meetings, Liverpool won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Liverpool — unbeaten run (home)0

Liverpool — scoring streak (home)0

PSV Eindhoven — winless run (away)1

PSV Eindhoven — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Liverpool Win (1)51%

Draw (X)22%

PSV Eindhoven Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 75%

50% +1.5 25%

50% +2.5 25%

33% +3.5 25%

17% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 25%

50% -1.5 75%

50% -2.5 75%

67% -3.5 75%

83% -4.5 100%

Liverpool vs PSV Eindhoven — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Liverpool — scored (home)2.5

Liverpool — conceded (home)1.33

PSV Eindhoven — scored (away)1.5

PSV Eindhoven — conceded (away)1.5

Model expected combined goals3.42

Both Teams To Score

Yes66%

No34%

Rate per Team

Liverpool — BTTS matches (home)33%

PSV Eindhoven — BTTS matches (away)75%

Combined (simple average)54%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%

Under 4.512%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.559%

Under 9.541%

Over 10.550%

Under 10.550%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Liverpool (home)

Corners for8.3

Corners against2.8

PSV Eindhoven (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Liverpool

15 11 8 4 10

PSV Eindhoven

9 15 14 4 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%

Under 0.58%

Over 1.563%

Under 1.537%

Over 2.529%

Under 2.571%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Liverpool (home)

For1.0

PSV Eindhoven (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Liverpool — total shots (home)25.8

PSV Eindhoven — total shots (away)7.8

Shots on Target

Liverpool — on target (home)9.7

PSV Eindhoven — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Liverpool

Inside the box13.33

Outside the box5.83

PSV Eindhoven

Inside the box6.63

Outside the box4.13

Player Shots Liverpool

Mohamed Salah

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target30%

D. Szoboszlai

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target25%

H. Ekitike

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target25%

A. Isak

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target14%

C. Gakpo

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots PSV Eindhoven

R. Pepi

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target80%

+1.5 On Target40%

I. Saibari

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target14%

C. Driouech

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

I. Perišić

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target13%

G. Til

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Liverpool xG (home)2.48

PSV Eindhoven xG (away)1.52

Average Possession

52.75% Possession 51.88%

Team Comparison Liverpool vs PSV Eindhoven

84.42% Pass accuracy 83.63%

483 Passes per match 466.63

0.17 Goals prevented -0.24

11.75 Fouls committed 10.25

2.25 Goalkeeper saves 3.88

2.08 Offsides 1.75

14.17 Tackles per match 18.88

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Liverpool vs PSV Eindhoven prediction analysis

Review Liverpool vs PSV Eindhoven with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights