What markets are included in the Liverpool vs Southampton prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Liverpool vs Southampton prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Liverpool vs Southampton

Liverpool vs Southampton prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-03-08 15:00

Liverpool

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

54%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-0

Southampton

Away

Prediction Summary

68%

19%

12%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS No

54%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Liverpool (Home)

Goals scored / match2.21

Goals conceded / match0.84

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate63%

Southampton (Away)

Goals scored / match0.68

Goals conceded / match2.05

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Liverpool

DLDLW

Southampton

LLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 58%

84% +1.5 11%

26% +2.5 0%

11% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

63% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Liverpool averages 2.21 goals scored at home, while Southampton averages 0.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength

68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

68%

Draw

19%

Away Win

12%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Sep 2025 Liverpool 2 - 1 Southampton Home

Mar 2025 Liverpool 3 - 1 Southampton Home

Dec 2024 Liverpool(A) 2 - 1 Southampton Home

Nov 2024 Liverpool(A) 3 - 2 Southampton Home

Feb 2024 Liverpool 3 - 0 Southampton Home

In the last 5 meetings, Liverpool won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Liverpool — unbeaten run (home)17

Liverpool — scoring streak (home)17

Southampton — winless run (away)6

Southampton — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Liverpool Win (1)68%

Draw (X)19%

Southampton Win (2)12%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 58%

84% +1.5 11%

26% +2.5 0%

11% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 42%

16% -1.5 89%

74% -2.5 100%

89% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Liverpool vs Southampton — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Liverpool — scored (home)2.21

Liverpool — conceded (home)0.84

Southampton — scored (away)0.68

Southampton — conceded (away)2.05

Model expected combined goals2.82

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%

No54%

Rate per Team

Liverpool — BTTS matches (home)63%

Southampton — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.574%

Under 8.526%

Over 9.566%

Under 9.534%

Over 10.548%

Under 10.552%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Liverpool (home)

Corners for6.4

Corners against4.1

Southampton (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Liverpool

10 9 4 6 11

Southampton

13 13 16 9 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Liverpool (home)

For1.7

Southampton (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Liverpool — total shots (home)16.5

Southampton — total shots (away)9.5

Shots on Target

Liverpool — on target (home)5.9

Southampton — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Liverpool

Inside the box12.63

Outside the box4.42

Southampton

Inside the box6.45

Outside the box2.58

Player Shots Liverpool

J. Gomez

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target11%

+1.5 On Target11%

Mohamed Salah

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target87%

+1.5 On Target47%

L. Díaz

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target22%

D. Núñez

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target13%

A. Robertson

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target6%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Southampton

J. Aribo

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

P. Onuachu

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target24%

J. Bednarek

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target3%

Mateus Fernandes

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target11%

T. Harwood-Bellis

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Liverpool xG (home)2.19

Southampton xG (away)0.87

Average Possession

57.95% Possession 48.66%

Team Comparison Liverpool vs Southampton

85.95% Pass accuracy 84.79%

528.89 Passes per match 454.84

-0.08 Goals prevented 0.07

11.32 Fouls committed 12.08

2.79 Goalkeeper saves 4.26

1.58 Offsides 1.44

17.05 Tackles per match 17.18

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Liverpool vs Southampton prediction analysis

Review Liverpool vs Southampton with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights