Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Liverpool vs West Ham

Liverpool vs West Ham prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-04-13 13:00
Liverpool
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
West Ham
Away

Prediction Summary

1
59%
X
23%
2
18%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Liverpool (Home)

Goals scored / match2.21
Goals conceded / match0.84
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate63%

West Ham (Away)

Goals scored / match1.21
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Liverpool
DLDLW
West Ham
WLWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 89%
84% +1.5 26%
26% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Medium.

Liverpool averages 2.21 goals scored at home, while West Ham averages 1.21 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
59%
Draw
23%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Liverpool 5 - 2 West Ham Home
Nov 2025 Liverpool(A) 2 - 0 West Ham Home
Apr 2025 Liverpool 2 - 1 West Ham Home
Dec 2024 Liverpool(A) 5 - 0 West Ham Home
Sep 2024 Liverpool 5 - 1 West Ham Home

In the last 5 meetings, Liverpool won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Liverpool — unbeaten run (home)17
Liverpool — scoring streak (home)17
West Ham — winless run (away)0
West Ham — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Liverpool Win (1)59%
Draw (X)23%
West Ham Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 89%
84% +1.5 26%
26% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 11%
16% -1.5 74%
74% -2.5 95%
89% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Liverpool vs West Ham — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Liverpool — scored (home)2.21
Liverpool — conceded (home)0.84
West Ham — scored (away)1.21
West Ham — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals2.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%
No52%

Rate per Team

Liverpool — BTTS matches (home)63%
West Ham — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.587%
Under 4.513%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Liverpool (home)

Corners for6.4
Corners against4.1

West Ham (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Liverpool
10 9 4 6 11
West Ham
9 4 13 15 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.569%
Under 2.531%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Liverpool (home)

For1.7

West Ham (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Liverpool — total shots (home)16.5
West Ham — total shots (away)13.3

Shots on Target

Liverpool — on target (home)5.9
West Ham — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Liverpool

Inside the box12.63
Outside the box4.42

West Ham

Inside the box8.84
Outside the box3.68

Player Shots Liverpool

J. Gomez
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
Mohamed Salah
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target87%
+1.5 On Target47%
L. Díaz
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target22%
D. Núñez
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Robertson
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots West Ham

M. Kudus
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Kilman
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Bowen
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target26%
Emerson
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target6%
M. Antonio
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Liverpool xG (home)2.19
West Ham xG (away)1.26

Average Possession

57.95% Possession 48.63%

Team Comparison Liverpool vs West Ham

85.95% Pass accuracy 82.16%
528.89 Passes per match 444.29
-0.08 Goals prevented -0.18
11.32 Fouls committed 11.66
2.79 Goalkeeper saves 3.47
1.58 Offsides 1.97
17.05 Tackles per match 17.21

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Liverpool vs West Ham prediction analysis

Review Liverpool vs West Ham with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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