Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Liverpool vs Wolves

Liverpool vs Wolves prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-12-27 15:00
Liverpool
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
42%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Wolves
Away

Prediction Summary

1
61%
X
24%
2
15%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Liverpool (Home)

Goals scored / match1.79
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate68%

Wolves (Away)

Goals scored / match0.42
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Liverpool
DLDLW
Wolves
DDLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 37%
47% +1.5 5%
21% +2.5 0%
16% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
68% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Liverpool averages 1.79 goals scored at home, while Wolves averages 0.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
61%
Draw
24%
Away Win
15%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
41%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Liverpool(A) 3 - 1 Wolves Home
Mar 2026 Liverpool(A) 1 - 2 Wolves Away
Dec 2025 Liverpool 2 - 1 Wolves Home
Feb 2025 Liverpool 2 - 1 Wolves Home
Sep 2024 Liverpool(A) 2 - 1 Wolves Home

In the last 5 meetings, Liverpool won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Liverpool — unbeaten run (home)6
Liverpool — scoring streak (home)9
Wolves — winless run (away)19
Wolves — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Liverpool Win (1)61%
Draw (X)24%
Wolves Win (2)15%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 37%
47% +1.5 5%
21% +2.5 0%
16% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 63%
53% -1.5 95%
79% -2.5 100%
84% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Liverpool vs Wolves — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Liverpool — scored (home)1.79
Liverpool — conceded (home)1.05
Wolves — scored (away)0.42
Wolves — conceded (away)1.79
Model expected combined goals2.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes41%
No59%

Rate per Team

Liverpool — BTTS matches (home)68%
Wolves — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.577%
Under 8.523%
Over 9.568%
Under 9.532%
Over 10.548%
Under 10.552%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Liverpool (home)

Corners for6.3
Corners against4.8

Wolves (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Liverpool
13 5 7 13 16
Wolves
10 9 8 9 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Liverpool (home)

For1.3

Wolves (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Liverpool — total shots (home)17.2
Wolves — total shots (away)9.3

Shots on Target

Liverpool — on target (home)5.2
Wolves — on target (away)2.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Liverpool

Inside the box10.08
Outside the box5.39

Wolves

Inside the box6.24
Outside the box3.47

Player Shots Liverpool

Mohamed Salah
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target19%
H. Ekitike
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target18%
D. Szoboszlai
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target8%
C. Gakpo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target11%
F. Wirtz
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Wolves

M. Mane
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target19%
T. Arokodare
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target12%
M. Munetsi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Armstrong
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target7%
L. Krejčí
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Liverpool xG (home)1.6
Wolves xG (away)0.93

Average Possession

59.21% Possession 42.79%

Team Comparison Liverpool vs Wolves

85.37% Pass accuracy 78.61%
530.95 Passes per match 362.84
-0.26 Goals prevented -0.1
9.95 Fouls committed 13
2.7 Goalkeeper saves 2.92
2.11 Offsides 1.5
12.97 Tackles per match 19.05

League average xG this season is 1.4 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Liverpool vs Wolves prediction analysis

Review Liverpool vs Wolves with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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