Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Livingston vs Celtic

Livingston vs Celtic prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-12-27 15:00
Livingston
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Celtic
Away

Prediction Summary

1
34%
X
26%
2
40%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Livingston (Home)

Goals scored / match1.33
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate89%

Celtic (Away)

Goals scored / match1.58
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Livingston
LDLDW
Celtic
WWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 79%
39% +1.5 58%
6% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
89% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Livingston averages 1.33 goals scored at home, while Celtic averages 1.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
34%
Draw
26%
Away Win
40%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Livingston(A) 1 - 2 Celtic Away
Dec 2025 Livingston 2 - 4 Celtic Away
Aug 2025 Livingston(A) 0 - 3 Celtic Away
Mar 2024 Livingston 0 - 3 Celtic Away
Mar 2024 Livingston(A) 2 - 4 Celtic Away

In the last 5 meetings, Livingston won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Livingston — unbeaten run (home)0
Livingston — scoring streak (home)6
Celtic — winless run (away)0
Celtic — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Livingston Win (1)34%
Draw (X)26%
Celtic Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 79%
39% +1.5 58%
6% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 21%
61% -1.5 42%
94% -2.5 84%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Livingston vs Celtic — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Livingston — scored (home)1.33
Livingston — conceded (home)2
Celtic — scored (away)1.58
Celtic — conceded (away)1.37
Model expected combined goals2.7

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Livingston — BTTS matches (home)89%
Celtic — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)76%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.565%
Under 7.535%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.546%
Under 10.554%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Livingston (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against4.8

Celtic (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Livingston
15 9 12 15 7
Celtic
16 13 8 7 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Livingston (home)

For2.7

Celtic (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Livingston — total shots (home)10.6
Celtic — total shots (away)14.6

Shots on Target

Livingston — on target (home)3.8
Celtic — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Livingston

Inside the box6.29
Outside the box3.53

Celtic

Inside the box10.82
Outside the box5.58

Player Shots Livingston

T. Yengi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. May
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%
R. Muirhead
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
C. McLennan
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Smith
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Celtic

B. Nygren
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target24%
D. Maeda
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%
T. Čvančara
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Kenny
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Ịheanachọ
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Livingston xG (home)1.09
Celtic xG (away)2.02

Average Possession

44.97% Possession 65.53%

Team Comparison Livingston vs Celtic

73.13% Pass accuracy 86.13%
372.84 Passes per match 602.87
0.11 Goals prevented -0.28
12.89 Fouls committed 12.42
3.05 Goalkeeper saves 2.29
1.49 Offsides 1.5
15.92 Tackles per match 13.92

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Livingston vs Celtic prediction analysis

Review Livingston vs Celtic with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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