Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Livingston vs Dundee

Livingston vs Dundee prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-12-13 15:00
Livingston
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-0
Dundee
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
25%
2
23%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Livingston (Home)

Goals scored / match1.33
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate89%

Dundee (Away)

Goals scored / match0.58
Goals conceded / match1.74
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Livingston
LDLDW
Dundee
WLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 37%
39% +1.5 16%
6% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
89% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Livingston averages 1.33 goals scored at home, while Dundee averages 0.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
25%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jun 2026 Livingston 2 - 0 Dundee Home
May 2026 Livingston(A) 0 - 3 Dundee Away
Feb 2026 Livingston(A) 2 - 2 Dundee Draw
Dec 2025 Livingston 2 - 2 Dundee Draw
Sep 2025 Livingston(A) 2 - 3 Dundee Away

In the last 5 meetings, Livingston won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Livingston — unbeaten run (home)0
Livingston — scoring streak (home)6
Dundee — winless run (away)4
Dundee — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Livingston Win (1)52%
Draw (X)25%
Dundee Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 37%
39% +1.5 16%
6% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 63%
61% -1.5 84%
94% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Livingston vs Dundee — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Livingston — scored (home)1.33
Livingston — conceded (home)2
Dundee — scored (away)0.58
Dundee — conceded (away)1.74
Model expected combined goals2.56

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Livingston — BTTS matches (home)89%
Dundee — BTTS matches (away)32%
Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.573%
Under 7.527%
Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.536%
Under 10.564%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Livingston (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against4.8

Dundee (away)

Corners for3.3
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Livingston
15 9 12 15 7
Dundee
6 11 12 8 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Livingston (home)

For2.7

Dundee (away)

For1.5

Shots per Game

Livingston — total shots (home)10.6
Dundee — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Livingston — on target (home)3.8
Dundee — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Livingston

Inside the box6.29
Outside the box3.53

Dundee

Inside the box6
Outside the box4.03

Player Shots Livingston

T. Yengi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. May
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%
R. Muirhead
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
C. McLennan
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Smith
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Dundee

C. Congreve
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target9%
Y. Dhanda
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target11%
E. Hamilton
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target6%
S. Murray
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Westley
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Livingston xG (home)1.09
Dundee xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

44.97% Possession 43.66%

Team Comparison Livingston vs Dundee

73.13% Pass accuracy 75.21%
372.84 Passes per match 353.37
0.11 Goals prevented -0.35
12.89 Fouls committed 9.34
3.05 Goalkeeper saves 3.71
1.49 Offsides 1.44
15.92 Tackles per match 13.68

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Livingston vs Dundee prediction analysis

Review Livingston vs Dundee with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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