Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Livingston vs Dundee Utd

Livingston vs Dundee Utd prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-12-30 19:45
Livingston
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Dundee Utd
Away

Prediction Summary

1
35%
X
23%
2
41%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Livingston (Home)

Goals scored / match1.33
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate89%

Dundee Utd (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Livingston
LDLDW
Dundee Utd
DDLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 68%
39% +1.5 47%
6% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
89% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

Livingston averages 1.33 goals scored at home, while Dundee Utd averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
35%
Draw
23%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
64%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Livingston(A) 0 - 0 Dundee Utd Draw
Apr 2026 Livingston(A) 2 - 3 Dundee Utd Away
Dec 2025 Livingston 1 - 3 Dundee Utd Away
Oct 2025 Livingston(A) 1 - 1 Dundee Utd Draw
May 2023 Livingston 2 - 1 Dundee Utd Home

In the last 5 meetings, Livingston won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Livingston — unbeaten run (home)0
Livingston — scoring streak (home)6
Dundee Utd — winless run (away)6
Dundee Utd — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Livingston Win (1)35%
Draw (X)23%
Dundee Utd Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 68%
39% +1.5 47%
6% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 32%
61% -1.5 53%
94% -2.5 84%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Livingston vs Dundee Utd — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Livingston — scored (home)1.33
Livingston — conceded (home)2
Dundee Utd — scored (away)1.32
Dundee Utd — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.19

Both Teams To Score

Yes64%
No36%

Rate per Team

Livingston — BTTS matches (home)89%
Dundee Utd — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)76%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.581%
Under 6.519%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.536%
Under 10.564%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Livingston (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against4.8

Dundee Utd (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Livingston
15 9 12 15 7
Dundee Utd
6 12 6 15 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Livingston (home)

For2.7

Dundee Utd (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Livingston — total shots (home)10.6
Dundee Utd — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

Livingston — on target (home)3.8
Dundee Utd — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Livingston

Inside the box6.29
Outside the box3.53

Dundee Utd

Inside the box8.82
Outside the box4.42

Player Shots Livingston

T. Yengi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. May
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%
R. Muirhead
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
C. McLennan
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Smith
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Dundee Utd

A. Ahmed Fatah
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
Z. Sapsford
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Watters
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
O. Stirton
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
I. Dolček
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Livingston xG (home)1.09
Dundee Utd xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

44.97% Possession 42.26%

Team Comparison Livingston vs Dundee Utd

73.13% Pass accuracy 68.03%
372.84 Passes per match 314.68
0.11 Goals prevented -0.18
12.89 Fouls committed 12.89
3.05 Goalkeeper saves 3.32
1.49 Offsides 1.69
15.92 Tackles per match 15.82

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Livingston vs Dundee Utd prediction analysis

Review Livingston vs Dundee Utd with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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