Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Livingston vs Hibernian

Livingston vs Hibernian prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-11-01 15:00
Livingston
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Hibernian
Away

Prediction Summary

1
32%
X
25%
2
42%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Livingston (Home)

Goals scored / match1.33
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate89%

Hibernian (Away)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.32
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Livingston
LDLDW
Hibernian
LWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 63%
39% +1.5 53%
6% +2.5 21%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
89% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Medium.

Livingston averages 1.33 goals scored at home, while Hibernian averages 1.37 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
32%
Draw
25%
Away Win
42%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Livingston(A) 0 - 0 Hibernian Draw
Nov 2025 Livingston 2 - 2 Hibernian Draw
Oct 2025 Livingston(A) 0 - 4 Hibernian Away
Aug 2025 Livingston 0 - 2 Hibernian Away
May 2024 Livingston 1 - 1 Hibernian Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Livingston won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Livingston — unbeaten run (home)0
Livingston — scoring streak (home)6
Hibernian — winless run (away)0
Hibernian — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Livingston Win (1)32%
Draw (X)25%
Hibernian Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 63%
39% +1.5 53%
6% +2.5 21%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 37%
61% -1.5 47%
94% -2.5 79%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Livingston vs Hibernian — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Livingston — scored (home)1.33
Livingston — conceded (home)2
Hibernian — scored (away)1.37
Hibernian — conceded (away)1.32
Model expected combined goals2.73

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Livingston — BTTS matches (home)89%
Hibernian — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)73.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.573%
Under 7.527%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Livingston (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against4.8

Hibernian (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Livingston
15 9 12 15 7
Hibernian
11 13 11 12 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Livingston (home)

For2.7

Hibernian (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Livingston — total shots (home)10.6
Hibernian — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Livingston — on target (home)3.8
Hibernian — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Livingston

Inside the box6.29
Outside the box3.53

Hibernian

Inside the box8.61
Outside the box3.45

Player Shots Livingston

T. Yengi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. May
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%
R. Muirhead
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
C. McLennan
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Smith
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Hibernian

K. Bowie
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Hoilett
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
T. Klidje
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target11%
É. Youan
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Livingston xG (home)1.09
Hibernian xG (away)1.23

Average Possession

44.97% Possession 46.74%

Team Comparison Livingston vs Hibernian

73.13% Pass accuracy 77.37%
372.84 Passes per match 392.29
0.11 Goals prevented -0.28
12.89 Fouls committed 11.05
3.05 Goalkeeper saves 2.84
1.49 Offsides 1.81
15.92 Tackles per match 13.03

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Livingston vs Hibernian prediction analysis

Review Livingston vs Hibernian with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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