Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Livingston vs Kilmarnock

Livingston vs Kilmarnock prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2026-01-10 15:00
Livingston
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
64%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Kilmarnock
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
23%
2
37%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Livingston (Home)

Goals scored / match1.33
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate89%

Kilmarnock (Away)

Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match2.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Livingston
LDLDW
Kilmarnock
WWWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 74%
39% +1.5 26%
6% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
89% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 64%. Model confidence is Medium.

Livingston averages 1.33 goals scored at home, while Kilmarnock averages 1.16 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
23%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
65%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Livingston 1 - 4 Kilmarnock Away
Mar 2026 Livingston(A) 0 - 2 Kilmarnock Away
Jan 2026 Livingston 1 - 1 Kilmarnock Draw
Aug 2025 Livingston(A) 2 - 2 Kilmarnock Draw
Jul 2025 Livingston(A) 0 - 1 Kilmarnock Away

In the last 5 meetings, Livingston won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Livingston — unbeaten run (home)0
Livingston — scoring streak (home)6
Kilmarnock — winless run (away)0
Kilmarnock — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Livingston Win (1)40%
Draw (X)23%
Kilmarnock Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 74%
39% +1.5 26%
6% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 26%
61% -1.5 74%
94% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Livingston vs Kilmarnock — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Livingston — scored (home)1.33
Livingston — conceded (home)2
Kilmarnock — scored (away)1.16
Kilmarnock — conceded (away)2.11
Model expected combined goals3.28

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%
No35%

Rate per Team

Livingston — BTTS matches (home)89%
Kilmarnock — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)76%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.576%
Under 7.524%
Over 8.573%
Under 8.527%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.549%
Under 10.551%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Livingston (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against4.8

Kilmarnock (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Livingston
15 9 12 15 7
Kilmarnock
11 12 5 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Livingston (home)

For2.7

Kilmarnock (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Livingston — total shots (home)10.6
Kilmarnock — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Livingston — on target (home)3.8
Kilmarnock — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Livingston

Inside the box6.29
Outside the box3.53

Kilmarnock

Inside the box7.66
Outside the box3.68

Player Shots Livingston

T. Yengi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. May
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%
R. Muirhead
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
C. McLennan
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Smith
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Kilmarnock

T. John-Jules
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target78%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Hugill
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
Findlay Curtis
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
G. Kiltie
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%
D. Daniels
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Livingston xG (home)1.09
Kilmarnock xG (away)1.36

Average Possession

44.97% Possession 42.45%

Team Comparison Livingston vs Kilmarnock

73.13% Pass accuracy 73.08%
372.84 Passes per match 348.76
0.11 Goals prevented 0.03
12.89 Fouls committed 13.13
3.05 Goalkeeper saves 3.55
1.49 Offsides 1.84
15.92 Tackles per match 15.47

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Livingston vs Kilmarnock prediction analysis

Review Livingston vs Kilmarnock with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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