What markets are included in the Llaneros vs Alianza Valledupar prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Llaneros vs Alianza Valledupar prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Llaneros vs Alianza Valledupar

Llaneros vs Alianza Valledupar prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-04-11 23:00

Llaneros

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

32%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Alianza Valledupar

Away

Prediction Summary

53%

29%

19%

Under 2.5

68%

BTTS No

64%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Llaneros (Home)

Goals scored / match0.85

Goals conceded / match1.05

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate30%

Alianza Valledupar (Away)

Goals scored / match0.9

Goals conceded / match1.45

Over 2.5 rate10%

BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Llaneros

LLLLW

Alianza Valledupar

LWWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

50% +0.5 55%

35% +1.5 25%

0% +2.5 10%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

30% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Llaneros averages 0.85 goals scored at home, while Alianza Valledupar averages 0.9 goals scored away.

Model Strength

68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

53%

Draw

29%

Away Win

19%

Over 2.5

32%

BTTS Yes

36%

Head-to-Head last 2

Sep 2025 Llaneros(A) 1 - 3 Alianza Valledupar Away

Apr 2025 Llaneros 0 - 1 Alianza Valledupar Away

In the last 2 meetings, Llaneros won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Llaneros — unbeaten run (home)0

Llaneros — scoring streak (home)0

Alianza Valledupar — winless run (away)1

Alianza Valledupar — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Llaneros Win (1)53%

Draw (X)29%

Alianza Valledupar Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

50% +0.5 55%

35% +1.5 25%

0% +2.5 10%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

50% -0.5 45%

65% -1.5 75%

100% -2.5 90%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Llaneros vs Alianza Valledupar — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Llaneros — scored (home)0.85

Llaneros — conceded (home)1.05

Alianza Valledupar — scored (away)0.9

Alianza Valledupar — conceded (away)1.45

Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes36%

No64%

Rate per Team

Llaneros — BTTS matches (home)30%

Alianza Valledupar — BTTS matches (away)40%

Combined (simple average)35%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%

Under 4.510%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.568%

Under 6.532%

Over 7.553%

Under 7.547%

Over 8.543%

Under 8.557%

Over 9.538%

Under 9.562%

Over 10.525%

Under 10.575%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Llaneros (home)

Corners for4.4

Corners against4.0

Alianza Valledupar (away)

Corners for3.3

Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Llaneros

7 17 9 9 8

Alianza Valledupar

16 11 9 10 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Llaneros (home)

For2.3

Alianza Valledupar (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Llaneros — total shots (home)10.7

Alianza Valledupar — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Llaneros — on target (home)3.0

Alianza Valledupar — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Llaneros

Inside the box5.25

Outside the box4.38

Alianza Valledupar

Inside the box6.4

Outside the box5.8

Player Shots Llaneros

Harold Reina

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target0%

C. Sierra

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target7%

J. Mayorga

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target0%

M. Rangel

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target6%

C. Cortés

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Alianza Valledupar

C. Lucumi

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target53%

F. Pardo

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target15%

E. Torres

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target3%

J. Muñoz

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target6%

M. Martinez

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Llaneros xG (home)0.98

Alianza Valledupar xG (away)1.2

Average Possession

47.63% Possession 49.88%

Team Comparison Llaneros vs Alianza Valledupar

79.2% Pass accuracy 78.53%

352.3 Passes per match 349.75

0 Goals prevented 0

9.95 Fouls committed 12

2.88 Goalkeeper saves 2.55

1.37 Offsides 1.97

11.05 Tackles per match 12.03

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Llaneros vs Alianza Valledupar prediction analysis

Review Llaneros vs Alianza Valledupar with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights