Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional

Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-10-31 01:20
Llaneros
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
37%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Atletico Nacional
Away

Prediction Summary

1
34%
X
29%
2
36%
Under 2.5
63%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Llaneros (Home)

Goals scored / match0.85
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate30%

Atletico Nacional (Away)

Goals scored / match1.38
Goals conceded / match1.23
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Llaneros
LLLLW
Atletico Nacional
LWLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

50% +0.5 73%
35% +1.5 42%
0% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 4%
30% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Llaneros averages 0.85 goals scored at home, while Atletico Nacional averages 1.38 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
34%
Draw
29%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
44%

Head-to-Head last 2

Oct 2025 Llaneros 0 - 3 Atletico Nacional Away
May 2025 Llaneros(A) 1 - 2 Atletico Nacional Away

In the last 2 meetings, Llaneros won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Llaneros — unbeaten run (home)0
Llaneros — scoring streak (home)0
Atletico Nacional — winless run (away)4
Atletico Nacional — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Llaneros Win (1)34%
Draw (X)29%
Atletico Nacional Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

50% +0.5 73%
35% +1.5 42%
0% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 4%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

50% -0.5 27%
65% -1.5 58%
100% -2.5 85%
100% -3.5 96%
100% -4.5 96%

Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Llaneros — scored (home)0.85
Llaneros — conceded (home)1.05
Atletico Nacional — scored (away)1.38
Atletico Nacional — conceded (away)1.23
Model expected combined goals2.18

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%
No56%

Rate per Team

Llaneros — BTTS matches (home)30%
Atletico Nacional — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.596%
Under 4.54%
Over 5.596%
Under 5.54%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.562%
Under 7.538%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.526%
Under 10.574%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Llaneros (home)

Corners for4.4
Corners against4.0

Atletico Nacional (away)

Corners for5.3
Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Llaneros
7 17 9 9 8
Atletico Nacional
12 8 9 3 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Llaneros (home)

For2.3

Atletico Nacional (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Llaneros — total shots (home)10.7
Atletico Nacional — total shots (away)13.8

Shots on Target

Llaneros — on target (home)3.0
Atletico Nacional — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Llaneros

Inside the box5.25
Outside the box4.38

Atletico Nacional

Inside the box8.73
Outside the box7.02

Player Shots Llaneros

Harold Reina
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
C. Sierra
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target7%
J. Mayorga
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Rangel
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target6%
C. Cortés
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Atletico Nacional

A. Morelos
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Viveros
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
E. Cardona
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target15%
J. Rengifo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target15%
A. Sarmiento
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Llaneros xG (home)0.98
Atletico Nacional xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

47.63% Possession 56.51%

Team Comparison Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional

79.2% Pass accuracy 83.69%
352.3 Passes per match 411.63
0 Goals prevented 0
9.95 Fouls committed 11.51
2.88 Goalkeeper saves 2.59
1.37 Offsides 1.7
11.05 Tackles per match 10.58

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional prediction analysis

Review Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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