Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Llaneros vs Envigado

Llaneros vs Envigado prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-11-14 00:00
Llaneros
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
31%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Envigado
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
31%
2
30%
Under 2.5
69%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Llaneros (Home)

Goals scored / match0.85
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate30%

Envigado (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.15
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Llaneros
LLLLW
Envigado
WDLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

50% +0.5 45%
35% +1.5 30%
0% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
30% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 31%. Model confidence is Medium.

Llaneros averages 0.85 goals scored at home, while Envigado averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
31%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
31%
BTTS Yes
38%

Head-to-Head last 2

Nov 2025 Llaneros 0 - 3 Envigado Away
May 2025 Llaneros(A) 2 - 1 Envigado Home

In the last 2 meetings, Llaneros won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Llaneros — unbeaten run (home)0
Llaneros — scoring streak (home)0
Envigado — winless run (away)0
Envigado — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Llaneros Win (1)39%
Draw (X)31%
Envigado Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

50% +0.5 45%
35% +1.5 30%
0% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

50% -0.5 55%
65% -1.5 70%
100% -2.5 85%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Llaneros vs Envigado — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Llaneros — scored (home)0.85
Llaneros — conceded (home)1.05
Envigado — scored (away)0.95
Envigado — conceded (away)1.15
Model expected combined goals1.95

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%
No62%

Rate per Team

Llaneros — BTTS matches (home)30%
Envigado — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)32.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.593%
Under 4.57%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.570%
Under 6.530%
Over 7.558%
Under 7.542%
Over 8.545%
Under 8.555%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.530%
Under 10.570%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Llaneros (home)

Corners for4.4
Corners against4.0

Envigado (away)

Corners for2.8
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Llaneros
7 17 9 9 8
Envigado
3 4 12 6 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.593%
Under 2.57%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Llaneros (home)

For2.3

Envigado (away)

For4.2

Shots per Game

Llaneros — total shots (home)10.7
Envigado — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Llaneros — on target (home)3.0
Envigado — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Llaneros

Inside the box5.25
Outside the box4.38

Envigado

Inside the box5.23
Outside the box5.13

Player Shots Llaneros

Harold Reina
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
C. Sierra
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target7%
J. Mayorga
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Rangel
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target6%
C. Cortés
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Envigado

D. Pabón
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target50%
D. Arcila
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target19%
E. López
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%
B. Garcés
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target8%
W. Hurtado
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Llaneros xG (home)0.98
Envigado xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

47.63% Possession 43.18%

Team Comparison Llaneros vs Envigado

79.2% Pass accuracy 74.7%
352.3 Passes per match 285.13
0 Goals prevented 0
9.95 Fouls committed 14.18
2.88 Goalkeeper saves 2.9
1.37 Offsides 1.74
11.05 Tackles per match 11.08

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Llaneros vs Envigado prediction analysis

Review Llaneros vs Envigado with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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