Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Llaneros vs Once Caldas

Llaneros vs Once Caldas prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-10-19 21:10
Llaneros
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
28%
Confidence
High
Score
1-0
Once Caldas
Away

Prediction Summary

1
42%
X
32%
2
26%
Under 2.5
72%
BTTS No
64%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Llaneros (Home)

Goals scored / match0.85
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate30%

Once Caldas (Away)

Goals scored / match0.64
Goals conceded / match1.23
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Llaneros
LLLLW
Once Caldas
DWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

50% +0.5 50%
35% +1.5 14%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
30% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 28%. Model confidence is High.

Llaneros averages 0.85 goals scored at home, while Once Caldas averages 0.64 goals scored away.

Model Strength
72%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
42%
Draw
32%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
28%
BTTS Yes
36%

Head-to-Head last 2

Oct 2025 Llaneros 2 - 0 Once Caldas Home
Mar 2025 Llaneros(A) 0 - 1 Once Caldas Away

In the last 2 meetings, Llaneros won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Llaneros — unbeaten run (home)0
Llaneros — scoring streak (home)0
Once Caldas — winless run (away)3
Once Caldas — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Llaneros Win (1)42%
Draw (X)32%
Once Caldas Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

50% +0.5 50%
35% +1.5 14%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

50% -0.5 50%
65% -1.5 86%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Llaneros vs Once Caldas — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Llaneros — scored (home)0.85
Llaneros — conceded (home)1.05
Once Caldas — scored (away)0.64
Once Caldas — conceded (away)1.23
Model expected combined goals1.86

Both Teams To Score

Yes36%
No64%

Rate per Team

Llaneros — BTTS matches (home)30%
Once Caldas — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)35.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.593%
Under 4.57%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.569%
Under 6.531%
Over 7.555%
Under 7.545%
Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.528%
Under 10.572%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Llaneros (home)

Corners for4.4
Corners against4.0

Once Caldas (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Llaneros
7 17 9 9 8
Once Caldas
7 14 14 5 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Llaneros (home)

For2.3

Once Caldas (away)

For3.1

Shots per Game

Llaneros — total shots (home)10.7
Once Caldas — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Llaneros — on target (home)3.0
Once Caldas — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Llaneros

Inside the box5.25
Outside the box4.38

Once Caldas

Inside the box6.02
Outside the box6.42

Player Shots Llaneros

Harold Reina
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
C. Sierra
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target7%
J. Mayorga
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Rangel
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target6%
C. Cortés
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Once Caldas

H. Dorrego
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
D. Moreno
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target23%
J. Zapata
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Barrios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. García
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Llaneros xG (home)0.98
Once Caldas xG (away)0.94

Average Possession

47.63% Possession 49.73%

Team Comparison Llaneros vs Once Caldas

79.2% Pass accuracy 81.02%
352.3 Passes per match 358.62
0 Goals prevented 0
9.95 Fouls committed 11.36
2.88 Goalkeeper saves 3.64
1.37 Offsides 2.43
11.05 Tackles per match 12.47

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Llaneros vs Once Caldas prediction analysis

Review Llaneros vs Once Caldas with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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