Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Lommel United vs Charleroi

Lommel United vs Charleroi prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Jupiler Pro League 2026-08-16 17:15
Lommel United
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Charleroi
Away

Prediction Summary

1
60%
X
21%
2
19%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Lommel United (Home)

Goals scored / match3
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate100%
BTTS rate67%

Charleroi (Away)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate45%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lommel United
DWWWW
Charleroi
WDLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 75%
100% +1.5 40%
100% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
67% BTTS 45%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lommel United averages 3 goals scored at home, while Charleroi averages 1.2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
60%
Draw
21%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2021 Lommel United(A) 0 - 0 Charleroi Draw

In the last 1 meetings, Lommel United won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Lommel United — unbeaten run (home)3
Lommel United — scoring streak (home)3
Charleroi — winless run (away)0
Charleroi — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lommel United Win (1)60%
Draw (X)21%
Charleroi Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 75%
100% +1.5 40%
100% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 25%
0% -1.5 60%
0% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Lommel United vs Charleroi — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lommel United — scored (home)3
Lommel United — conceded (home)1
Charleroi — scored (away)1.2
Charleroi — conceded (away)1.2
Model expected combined goals3.2

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

Lommel United — BTTS matches (home)67%
Charleroi — BTTS matches (away)45%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lommel United (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.0

Charleroi (away)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lommel United
15 10 13 13 10
Charleroi
9 7 13 20 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Lommel United (home)

For0.7

Charleroi (away)

For2.2

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.575%
Under 19.525%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.546%
Under 25.554%
Expected total shots25.51

Lommel United

Shots Over 9.577%
Shots Over 11.562%
Shots Over 13.547%
Expected shots13.56
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.547%
On Target Over 5.532%
Expected on target4.58

Charleroi

Shots Over 9.567%
Shots Over 11.550%
Shots Over 13.534%
Expected shots11.95
On Target Over 3.551%
On Target Over 4.534%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.81

Shots per Game

Lommel United — total shots (home)12.0
Charleroi — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

Lommel United — on target (home)5.7
Charleroi — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lommel United

Inside the box7.5
Outside the box2.17

Charleroi

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box4.5

Player Shots Lommel United

Z. Vancsa
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Schoofs
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target17%
R. Seuntjens
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
T. Reyners
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. van Duiven
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Charleroi

P. Guiagon
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
A. Scheidler
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
N. Štulić
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Y. Titraoui
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
P. Pflücke
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lommel United xG (home)1.33
Charleroi xG (away)1.33

Average Possession

45.33% Possession 49.78%

Team Comparison Lommel United vs Charleroi

77% Pass accuracy 80.28%
412.5 Passes per match 394.8
2.28 Goals prevented 0.04
9.67 Fouls committed 11.3
3.33 Goalkeeper saves 2.53
0.5 Offsides 2.35
17.67 Tackles per match 15.98

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lommel United vs Charleroi prediction analysis

Review Lommel United vs Charleroi with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top