Prediction Analysis: Londrina vs Novorizontino
Londrina vs Novorizontino prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie B
2026-07-26
21:30
Londrina
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Londrina
Probability
66%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Novorizontino
Away
Prediction Summary
1
66%
X
22%
2
11%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
65%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Londrina (Home)
Goals scored / match2.5
Goals conceded / match0.5
Over 2.5 rate50%
BTTS rate25%
Novorizontino (Away)
Goals scored / match0.5
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%
Team Form last 5 matches
Londrina
LDDWD
Novorizontino
LLLWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
75%
+0.5
50%
75%
+1.5
0%
50%
+2.5
0%
25%
+3.5
0%
25%
+4.5
0%
25%
BTTS
50%
Model Insight
The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 66%. Model confidence is Medium.
Londrina averages 2.5 goals scored at home, while Novorizontino averages 0.5 goals scored away.
Model Strength
66%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
66%
Draw
22%
Away Win
11%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
35%
Head-to-Head last 4
Nov 2023
Londrina
0 - 1
Novorizontino
Away
Jul 2023
Londrina(A)
0 - 3
Novorizontino
Away
Aug 2022
Londrina(A)
1 - 0
Novorizontino
Home
Apr 2022
Londrina
1 - 1
Novorizontino
Draw
In the last 4 meetings, Londrina won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Londrina — unbeaten run (home)4
Londrina — scoring streak (home)0
Novorizontino — winless run (away)2
Novorizontino — clean sheets (away, last 2)0 of 2
1X2 Probability model
Londrina Win (1)66%
Draw (X)22%
Novorizontino Win (2)11%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
75%
+0.5
50%
75%
+1.5
0%
50%
+2.5
0%
25%
+3.5
0%
25%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
25%
-0.5
50%
25%
-1.5
100%
50%
-2.5
100%
75%
-3.5
100%
75%
-4.5
100%
Londrina vs Novorizontino — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Londrina — scored (home)2.5
Londrina — conceded (home)0.5
Novorizontino — scored (away)0.5
Novorizontino — conceded (away)1.5
Model expected combined goals2.31
Both Teams To Score
Yes35%
No65%
Rate per Team
Londrina — BTTS matches (home)25%
Novorizontino — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)37.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10
Per-Team Corners own matches
Londrina (home)
Corners for5.3
Corners against6.5
Novorizontino (away)
Corners for3.5
Corners against9.0
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Londrina
9
13
9
11
15
Novorizontino
10
11
12
13
14
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3
Yellow Cards per Team
Londrina (home)
For2.0
Novorizontino (away)
For1.0
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.577%
Under 19.523%
Over 22.563%
Under 22.537%
Over 25.548%
Under 25.552%
Expected total shots25.76
Londrina
Shots Over 9.582%
Shots Over 11.567%
Shots Over 13.552%
Expected shots14.18
On Target Over 3.565%
On Target Over 4.547%
On Target Over 5.530%
Expected on target4.52
Novorizontino
Shots Over 9.565%
Shots Over 11.547%
Shots Over 13.531%
Expected shots11.58
On Target Over 3.543%
On Target Over 4.526%
On Target Over 5.514%
Expected on target3.39
Shots per Game
Londrina — total shots (home)15.8
Novorizontino — total shots (away)15.0
Shots on Target
Londrina — on target (home)5.0
Novorizontino — on target (away)4.0
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Londrina
Inside the box6.33
Outside the box6.33
Novorizontino
Inside the box9.4
Outside the box5.6
Player Shots Londrina
Bruno Santos
Shots on Target/Game2.5
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target100%
Heron
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
João Vitor
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Gilberto
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
Kauê Leonardo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Novorizontino
Juninho
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
Romulo
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Robson
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
Luis Oyama
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Reidiney
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Londrina xG (home)1.42
Novorizontino xG (away)1.57
Average Possession
44.57%
Possession
49.2%
Team Comparison Londrina vs Novorizontino
77.84%
Pass accuracy
78.17%
296
Passes per match
366.8
-0.49
Goals prevented
-0.38
12.29
Fouls committed
13.4
2.14
Goalkeeper saves
1.4
1.14
Offsides
1.2
14.29
Tackles per match
15
League average xG this season is 1.13 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Londrina vs Novorizontino prediction analysis
Review Londrina vs Novorizontino with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights