What markets are included in the Lorient vs Metz prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lorient vs Metz prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lorient vs Metz

Lorient vs Metz prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-01-04 16:15

Lorient

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

80%

Confidence

High

Score

2-1

Metz

Away

Prediction Summary

64%

17%

19%

Over 2.5

80%

BTTS Yes

73%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Lorient (Home)

Goals scored / match1.82

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate71%

Metz (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match2.59

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lorient

LWDLW

Metz

DLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 59%

59% +1.5 29%

24% +2.5 6%

6% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

71% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 80%. Model confidence is High.

Lorient averages 1.82 goals scored at home, while Metz averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

80%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

64%

Draw

17%

Away Win

19%

Over 2.5

80%

BTTS Yes

73%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Lorient(A) 4 - 0 Metz Home

Jan 2026 Lorient 1 - 1 Metz Draw

Jan 2025 Lorient 0 - 0 Metz Draw

Sep 2024 Lorient(A) 1 - 1 Metz Draw

Feb 2024 Lorient(A) 2 - 1 Metz Home

In the last 5 meetings, Lorient won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Lorient — unbeaten run (home)0

Lorient — scoring streak (home)0

Metz — winless run (away)11

Metz — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lorient Win (1)64%

Draw (X)17%

Metz Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 59%

59% +1.5 29%

24% +2.5 6%

6% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 41%

41% -1.5 71%

76% -2.5 94%

94% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 100%

Lorient vs Metz — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lorient — scored (home)1.82

Lorient — conceded (home)1.47

Metz — scored (away)1

Metz — conceded (away)2.59

Model expected combined goals4.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes73%

No27%

Rate per Team

Lorient — BTTS matches (home)71%

Metz — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.577%

Under 6.523%

Over 7.568%

Under 7.532%

Over 8.547%

Under 8.553%

Over 9.544%

Under 9.556%

Over 10.527%

Under 10.573%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lorient (home)

Corners for3.2

Corners against5.3

Metz (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lorient

8 16 14 11 6

Metz

11 10 14 11 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Lorient (home)

For1.8

Metz (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Lorient — total shots (home)11.9

Metz — total shots (away)8.4

Shots on Target

Lorient — on target (home)4.4

Metz — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lorient

Inside the box7.12

Outside the box4.21

Metz

Inside the box6.26

Outside the box3.79

Player Shots Lorient

B. Dieng

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target32%

P. Pagis

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target11%

J. Makengo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target6%

A. Tosin

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target11%

M. Bamba

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Metz

G. Kvilitaia

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target10%

H. Diallo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target12%

G. Hein

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target7%

G. Abuashvili

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target4%

K. Kouao

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lorient xG (home)1.34

Metz xG (away)1.03

Average Possession

45.35% Possession 48.94%

Team Comparison Lorient vs Metz

83.94% Pass accuracy 85.24%

427.03 Passes per match 451.74

-0.3 Goals prevented 0.07

9.59 Fouls committed 11.38

2.47 Goalkeeper saves 3.62

1.72 Offsides 1.5

13.68 Tackles per match 16.71

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lorient vs Metz prediction analysis

Review Lorient vs Metz with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights