What markets are included in the Lorient vs Paris Saint Germain prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lorient vs Paris Saint Germain prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lorient vs Paris Saint Germain

Lorient vs Paris Saint Germain prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-10-29 18:00

Lorient

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

81%

Confidence

High

Score

1-2

Paris Saint Germain

Away

Prediction Summary

29%

19%

51%

Over 2.5

81%

BTTS Yes

78%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Lorient (Home)

Goals scored / match1.82

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate71%

Paris Saint Germain (Away)

Goals scored / match1.94

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate35%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lorient

LWDLW

Paris Saint Germain

LWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 88%

59% +1.5 47%

24% +2.5 35%

6% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 6%

71% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 81%. Model confidence is High.

Lorient averages 1.82 goals scored at home, while Paris Saint Germain averages 1.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength

81%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

29%

Draw

19%

Away Win

51%

Over 2.5

81%

BTTS Yes

78%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Lorient(A) 2 - 2 Paris Saint Germain Draw

Oct 2025 Lorient 1 - 1 Paris Saint Germain Draw

Apr 2024 Lorient 1 - 4 Paris Saint Germain Away

Aug 2023 Lorient(A) 0 - 0 Paris Saint Germain Draw

Apr 2023 Lorient(A) 3 - 1 Paris Saint Germain Home

In the last 5 meetings, Lorient won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Lorient — unbeaten run (home)0

Lorient — scoring streak (home)0

Paris Saint Germain — winless run (away)1

Paris Saint Germain — clean sheets (away, last 5)4 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lorient Win (1)29%

Draw (X)19%

Paris Saint Germain Win (2)51%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 88%

59% +1.5 47%

24% +2.5 35%

6% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 12%

41% -1.5 53%

76% -2.5 65%

94% -3.5 88%

100% -4.5 94%

Lorient vs Paris Saint Germain — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lorient — scored (home)1.82

Lorient — conceded (home)1.47

Paris Saint Germain — scored (away)1.94

Paris Saint Germain — conceded (away)1

Model expected combined goals4.35

Both Teams To Score

Yes78%

No22%

Rate per Team

Lorient — BTTS matches (home)71%

Paris Saint Germain — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.580%

Under 6.520%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.547%

Under 8.553%

Over 9.533%

Under 9.567%

Over 10.521%

Under 10.579%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lorient (home)

Corners for3.2

Corners against5.3

Paris Saint Germain (away)

Corners for5.2

Corners against3.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lorient

8 16 14 11 6

Paris Saint Germain

9 14 15 9 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.583%

Under 1.517%

Over 2.559%

Under 2.541%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Lorient (home)

For1.8

Paris Saint Germain (away)

For0.9

Shots per Game

Lorient — total shots (home)11.9

Paris Saint Germain — total shots (away)15.2

Shots on Target

Lorient — on target (home)4.4

Paris Saint Germain — on target (away)6.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lorient

Inside the box7.12

Outside the box4.21

Paris Saint Germain

Inside the box11.18

Outside the box6.53

Player Shots Lorient

B. Dieng

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target32%

P. Pagis

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target11%

J. Makengo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target6%

A. Tosin

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target11%

M. Bamba

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Paris Saint Germain

B. Barcola

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target72%

+1.5 On Target31%

K. Kvaratskhelia

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target29%

Gonçalo Ramos

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target23%

D. Doué

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target22%

O. Dembélé

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target23%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lorient xG (home)1.34

Paris Saint Germain xG (away)2.12

Average Possession

45.35% Possession 68.79%

Team Comparison Lorient vs Paris Saint Germain

83.94% Pass accuracy 91.06%

427.03 Passes per match 723.03

-0.3 Goals prevented -0.17

9.59 Fouls committed 9.18

2.47 Goalkeeper saves 2.26

1.72 Offsides 1.4

13.68 Tackles per match 14.88

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lorient vs Paris Saint Germain prediction analysis

Review Lorient vs Paris Saint Germain with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights