What markets are included in the Lorient vs Toulouse prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lorient vs Toulouse prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lorient vs Toulouse

Lorient vs Toulouse prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-09-12 15:00

Lorient

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

58%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Toulouse

Away

Prediction Summary

42%

24%

34%

+2.5 Goals

58%

BTTS

61%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Lorient (Home)

Goals scored / match1.82

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate71%

Toulouse (Away)

Goals scored / match1.38

Goals conceded / match1.38

Over 2.5 rate13%

BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lorient

LWDLW

Toulouse

WWDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 75%

59% +1.5 44%

24% +2.5 13%

6% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

71% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lorient averages 1.82 goals scored at home, while Toulouse averages 1.38 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

42%

Draw

24%

Away Win

34%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

61%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Lorient(A) 0 - 1 Toulouse Away

Nov 2025 Lorient 1 - 1 Toulouse Draw

Apr 2024 Lorient 1 - 2 Toulouse Away

Dec 2023 Lorient(A) 1 - 1 Toulouse Draw

Apr 2023 Lorient 0 - 1 Toulouse Away

In the last 5 meetings, Lorient won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Lorient — unbeaten run (home)0

Lorient — scoring streak (home)0

Toulouse — winless run (away)0

Toulouse — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lorient Win (1)42%

Draw (X)24%

Toulouse Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 75%

59% +1.5 44%

24% +2.5 13%

6% +3.5 6%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 25%

41% -1.5 56%

76% -2.5 87%

94% -3.5 94%

100% -4.5 100%

Lorient vs Toulouse — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lorient — scored (home)1.82

Lorient — conceded (home)1.47

Toulouse — scored (away)1.38

Toulouse — conceded (away)1.38

Model expected combined goals3.02

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%

No39%

Rate per Team

Lorient — BTTS matches (home)71%

Toulouse — BTTS matches (away)56%

Combined (simple average)63.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%

Under 8.543%

Over 9.546%

Under 9.554%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lorient (home)

Corners for3.2

Corners against5.3

Toulouse (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lorient

8 16 14 11 6

Toulouse

6 15 6 11 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.588%

Under 2.512%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Lorient (home)

For1.8

Toulouse (away)

For2.9

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.569%

Under 19.531%

Over 22.555%

Under 22.545%

Over 25.541%

Under 25.559%

Expected total shots24.33

Lorient

Shots Over 9.573%

Shots Over 11.558%

Shots Over 13.543%

Expected shots13.05

On Target Over 3.561%

On Target Over 4.544%

On Target Over 5.530%

Expected on target4.45

Toulouse

Shots Over 9.561%

Shots Over 11.544%

Shots Over 13.529%

Expected shots11.28

On Target Over 3.556%

On Target Over 4.539%

On Target Over 5.526%

Expected on target4.15

Shots per Game

Lorient — total shots (home)11.9

Toulouse — total shots (away)10.9

Shots on Target

Lorient — on target (home)4.4

Toulouse — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lorient

Inside the box7.12

Outside the box4.21

Toulouse

Inside the box8.36

Outside the box4.48

Player Shots Lorient

B. Dieng

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target32%

P. Pagis

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target11%

J. Makengo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target6%

A. Tosin

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target11%

M. Bamba

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Toulouse

P. Diop

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target13%

F. Magri

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target12%

Emersonn

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target11%

J. Vignolo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target15%

Y. Gboho

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lorient xG (home)1.34

Toulouse xG (away)1.31

Average Possession

45.35% Possession 42.24%

Team Comparison Lorient vs Toulouse

83.94% Pass accuracy 80.55%

427.03 Passes per match 374

-0.3 Goals prevented 0.07

9.59 Fouls committed 14.36

2.47 Goalkeeper saves 2.58

1.72 Offsides 1.33

13.68 Tackles per match 16.36

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lorient vs Toulouse prediction analysis

Review Lorient vs Toulouse with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights