Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Los Angeles Galaxy vs FC Dallas

Los Angeles Galaxy vs FC Dallas prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Major League Soccer 2026-08-02 02:30
Los Angeles Galaxy
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
63%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Dallas
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
23%
2
38%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Los Angeles Galaxy (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate58%

FC Dallas (Away)

Goals scored / match1.45
Goals conceded / match1.8
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Los Angeles Galaxy
DLLWW
FC Dallas
LDDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 70%
53% +1.5 45%
16% +2.5 20%
5% +3.5 10%
0% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.

Los Angeles Galaxy averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while FC Dallas averages 1.45 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
23%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
65%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Los Angeles Galaxy 2 - 1 FC Dallas Home
Oct 2025 Los Angeles Galaxy(A) 1 - 2 FC Dallas Away
Jul 2024 Los Angeles Galaxy(A) 0 - 2 FC Dallas Away
May 2024 Los Angeles Galaxy 3 - 1 FC Dallas Home
Oct 2023 Los Angeles Galaxy 1 - 4 FC Dallas Away

In the last 5 meetings, Los Angeles Galaxy won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Los Angeles Galaxy — unbeaten run (home)0
Los Angeles Galaxy — scoring streak (home)1
FC Dallas — winless run (away)3
FC Dallas — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Los Angeles Galaxy Win (1)39%
Draw (X)23%
FC Dallas Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 70%
53% +1.5 45%
16% +2.5 20%
5% +3.5 10%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 30%
47% -1.5 55%
84% -2.5 80%
95% -3.5 90%
100% -4.5 100%

Los Angeles Galaxy vs FC Dallas — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Los Angeles Galaxy — scored (home)1.47
Los Angeles Galaxy — conceded (home)1.79
FC Dallas — scored (away)1.45
FC Dallas — conceded (away)1.8
Model expected combined goals3.26

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%
No35%

Rate per Team

Los Angeles Galaxy — BTTS matches (home)58%
FC Dallas — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)61.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Los Angeles Galaxy (home)

Corners for5.9
Corners against4.6

FC Dallas (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against7.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Los Angeles Galaxy
12 13 9 11 11
FC Dallas
14 11 10 8 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.572%
Under 2.528%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Los Angeles Galaxy (home)

For1.9

FC Dallas (away)

For2.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.580%
Under 19.520%
Over 22.566%
Under 22.534%
Over 25.552%
Under 25.548%
Expected total shots26.56

Los Angeles Galaxy

Shots Over 9.585%
Shots Over 11.573%
Shots Over 13.558%
Expected shots14.97
On Target Over 3.578%
On Target Over 4.563%
On Target Over 5.548%
Expected on target5.59

FC Dallas

Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.547%
Shots Over 13.531%
Expected shots11.59
On Target Over 3.560%
On Target Over 4.542%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.25

Shots per Game

Los Angeles Galaxy — total shots (home)13.2
FC Dallas — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Los Angeles Galaxy — on target (home)5.4
FC Dallas — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Los Angeles Galaxy

Inside the box7.5
Outside the box4.59

FC Dallas

Inside the box7.31
Outside the box3.14

Player Shots Los Angeles Galaxy

J. Paintsil
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target42%
Gabriel Pec
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target52%
M. Reus
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target14%
R. Ramos
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Matheus Nascimento
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots FC Dallas

C. Cappis
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
S. Lletget
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target10%
P. Musa
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target41%
S. Ibeagha
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target6%
L. Acosta
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Los Angeles Galaxy xG (home)1.34
FC Dallas xG (away)1.4

Average Possession

54.29% Possession 40.61%

Team Comparison Los Angeles Galaxy vs FC Dallas

86.89% Pass accuracy 77.1%
535.62 Passes per match 364.72
-0.14 Goals prevented 0.02
10.29 Fouls committed 12.97
3.13 Goalkeeper saves 3.42
1.45 Offsides 2.2
15.54 Tackles per match 15.03

League average xG this season is 1.48 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Los Angeles Galaxy vs FC Dallas prediction and preview

Preview Los Angeles Galaxy vs FC Dallas with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Major League Soccer
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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