Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion

Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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USL Championship 2026-07-29 23:30
Louisville City
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Louisville City
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Birmingham Legion
Away

Prediction Summary

1
55%
X
23%
2
21%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Louisville City (Home)

Goals scored / match1.82
Goals conceded / match0.53
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate41%

Birmingham Legion (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate76%

Team Form last 5 matches

Louisville City
LWLWD
Birmingham Legion
DLDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 82%
59% +1.5 41%
24% +2.5 18%
18% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
41% BTTS 76%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Louisville City averages 1.82 goals scored at home, while Birmingham Legion averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
55%
Draw
23%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jun 2025 Louisville City 4 - 2 Birmingham Legion Home
Mar 2025 Louisville City(A) 1 - 1 Birmingham Legion Draw
Jun 2024 Louisville City(A) 4 - 1 Birmingham Legion Home
Mar 2024 Louisville City 5 - 0 Birmingham Legion Home
Aug 2023 Louisville City(A) 0 - 2 Birmingham Legion Away

In the last 5 meetings, Louisville City won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Louisville City — unbeaten run (home)1
Louisville City — scoring streak (home)1
Birmingham Legion — winless run (away)3
Birmingham Legion — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Louisville City Win (1)55%
Draw (X)23%
Birmingham Legion Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 82%
59% +1.5 41%
24% +2.5 18%
18% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 18%
41% -1.5 59%
76% -2.5 82%
82% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Louisville City — scored (home)1.82
Louisville City — conceded (home)0.53
Birmingham Legion — scored (away)1.47
Birmingham Legion — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals2.77

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Louisville City — BTTS matches (home)41%
Birmingham Legion — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)58.5%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Per-Team Corners own matches

Louisville City (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Birmingham Legion (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Yellow Cards per Team

Louisville City (home)

For—

Birmingham Legion (away)

For—

Shots per Game

Louisville City — total shots (home)—
Birmingham Legion — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Louisville City — on target (home)—
Birmingham Legion — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Louisville City

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Birmingham Legion

Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.

Average Possession

-% Possession -%

Team Comparison Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion

0% Pass accuracy 0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion prediction analysis

Review Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from USL Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance USL Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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