Prediction Analysis: Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion
Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Louisville City
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Louisville City
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0

Birmingham Legion
Away
Prediction Summary
1
55%
X
23%
2
21%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Louisville City (Home)
Goals scored / match1.82
Goals conceded / match0.53
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate41%
Birmingham Legion (Away)
Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate76%
Team Form last 5 matches
Louisville City
LWLWD
Birmingham Legion
DLDDL
Goals Comparison rate per team
82%
+0.5
82%
59%
+1.5
41%
24%
+2.5
18%
18%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
0%
41%
BTTS
76%
Model Insight
The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.
Louisville City averages 1.82 goals scored at home, while Birmingham Legion averages 1.47 goals scored away.
Model Strength
55%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
55%
Draw
23%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jun 2025
Louisville City
4 - 2
Birmingham Legion
Home
Mar 2025
Louisville City(A)
1 - 1
Birmingham Legion
Draw
Jun 2024
Louisville City(A)
4 - 1
Birmingham Legion
Home
Mar 2024
Louisville City
5 - 0
Birmingham Legion
Home
Aug 2023
Louisville City(A)
0 - 2
Birmingham Legion
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Louisville City won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Louisville City — unbeaten run (home)1
Louisville City — scoring streak (home)1
Birmingham Legion — winless run (away)3
Birmingham Legion — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Louisville City Win (1)55%
Draw (X)23%
Birmingham Legion Win (2)21%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
82%
+0.5
82%
59%
+1.5
41%
24%
+2.5
18%
18%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
18%
-0.5
18%
41%
-1.5
59%
76%
-2.5
82%
82%
-3.5
94%
100%
-4.5
100%
Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Louisville City — scored (home)1.82
Louisville City — conceded (home)0.53
Birmingham Legion — scored (away)1.47
Birmingham Legion — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals2.77
Both Teams To Score
Yes52%
No48%
Rate per Team
Louisville City — BTTS matches (home)41%
Birmingham Legion — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)58.5%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Per-Team Corners own matches
Louisville City (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Birmingham Legion (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
Louisville City (home)
For—
Birmingham Legion (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Louisville City — total shots (home)—
Birmingham Legion — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Louisville City — on target (home)—
Birmingham Legion — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Louisville City
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Birmingham Legion
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion prediction analysis
Review Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from USL Championship.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
USL Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights