Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Ludogorets vs Athletic Club

Ludogorets vs Athletic Club prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-11-07 17:45
Ludogorets
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Athletic Club
Away

Prediction Summary

1
42%
X
25%
2
34%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Ludogorets (Home)

Goals scored / match1.4
Goals conceded / match1.6
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate40%

Athletic Club (Away)

Goals scored / match1.14
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ludogorets
DLDDL
Athletic Club
LLWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 86%
40% +1.5 29%
20% +2.5 0%
20% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Ludogorets averages 1.4 goals scored at home, while Athletic Club averages 1.14 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
42%
Draw
25%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2024 Ludogorets 1 - 2 Athletic Club Away

In the last 1 meetings, Ludogorets won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Ludogorets — unbeaten run (home)0
Ludogorets — scoring streak (home)0
Athletic Club — winless run (away)4
Athletic Club — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ludogorets Win (1)42%
Draw (X)25%
Athletic Club Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 86%
40% +1.5 29%
20% +2.5 0%
20% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 14%
60% -1.5 71%
80% -2.5 100%
80% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Ludogorets vs Athletic Club — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ludogorets — scored (home)1.4
Ludogorets — conceded (home)1.6
Athletic Club — scored (away)1.14
Athletic Club — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals2.93

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

Ludogorets — BTTS matches (home)40%
Athletic Club — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.576%
Under 4.524%
Over 5.569%
Under 5.531%
Over 6.569%
Under 6.531%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ludogorets (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against6.8

Athletic Club (away)

Corners for4.9
Corners against2.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ludogorets
9 10 14 11 15
Athletic Club
11 11 9 9 2

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Ludogorets (home)

For2.0

Athletic Club (away)

For3.1

Shots per Game

Ludogorets — total shots (home)12.3
Athletic Club — total shots (away)13.7

Shots on Target

Ludogorets — on target (home)3.0
Athletic Club — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ludogorets

Inside the box5.75
Outside the box4.5

Athletic Club

Inside the box10.07
Outside the box4.93

Player Shots Ludogorets

Caio Vidal
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Camara
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
K. Duah
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Rwan Cruz
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
Erick Marcus
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Athletic Club

Nico Williams
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target31%
Yuri
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
Oihan Sancet
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
Gorka Guruzeta
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target17%
Álex Berenguer
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ludogorets xG (home)0.96
Athletic Club xG (away)1.44

Average Possession

46.22% Possession 52.57%

Team Comparison Ludogorets vs Athletic Club

78.75% Pass accuracy 81.71%
397.25 Passes per match 454.43
0.29 Goals prevented -0.3
11.11 Fouls committed 14.57
4.89 Goalkeeper saves 2
1.56 Offsides 0.79
17.13 Tackles per match 16.86

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ludogorets vs Athletic Club prediction analysis

Review Ludogorets vs Athletic Club with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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