What markets are included in the Ludogorets vs AZ Alkmaar prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Ludogorets vs AZ Alkmaar prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Ludogorets vs AZ Alkmaar

Ludogorets vs AZ Alkmaar prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-12-12 17:45

Ludogorets

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

65%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

AZ Alkmaar

Away

Prediction Summary

53%

22%

25%

Over 2.5

65%

BTTS Yes

64%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Ludogorets (Home)

Goals scored / match1.4

Goals conceded / match1.6

Over 2.5 rate20%

BTTS rate40%

AZ Alkmaar (Away)

Goals scored / match1.33

Goals conceded / match2.33

Over 2.5 rate17%

BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ludogorets

DLDDL

AZ Alkmaar

LWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 67%

40% +1.5 50%

20% +2.5 17%

20% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

40% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.

Ludogorets averages 1.4 goals scored at home, while AZ Alkmaar averages 1.33 goals scored away.

Model Strength

65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

53%

Draw

22%

Away Win

25%

Over 2.5

65%

BTTS Yes

64%

Head-to-Head last 1

Dec 2024 Ludogorets 2 - 2 AZ Alkmaar Draw

In the last 1 meetings, Ludogorets won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Ludogorets — unbeaten run (home)0

Ludogorets — scoring streak (home)0

AZ Alkmaar — winless run (away)6

AZ Alkmaar — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ludogorets Win (1)53%

Draw (X)22%

AZ Alkmaar Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 67%

40% +1.5 50%

20% +2.5 17%

20% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 33%

60% -1.5 50%

80% -2.5 83%

80% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Ludogorets vs AZ Alkmaar — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ludogorets — scored (home)1.4

Ludogorets — conceded (home)1.6

AZ Alkmaar — scored (away)1.33

AZ Alkmaar — conceded (away)2.33

Model expected combined goals3.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes64%

No36%

Rate per Team

Ludogorets — BTTS matches (home)40%

AZ Alkmaar — BTTS matches (away)67%

Combined (simple average)53.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%

Under 4.510%

Over 5.582%

Under 5.518%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.574%

Under 8.526%

Over 9.564%

Under 9.536%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ludogorets (home)

Corners for4.3

Corners against6.8

AZ Alkmaar (away)

Corners for5.5

Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ludogorets

9 10 14 11 15

AZ Alkmaar

10 8 13 9 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.584%

Under 1.516%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Ludogorets (home)

For2.0

AZ Alkmaar (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Ludogorets — total shots (home)12.3

AZ Alkmaar — total shots (away)13.2

Shots on Target

Ludogorets — on target (home)3.0

AZ Alkmaar — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ludogorets

Inside the box5.75

Outside the box4.5

AZ Alkmaar

Inside the box8.08

Outside the box4.75

Player Shots Ludogorets

Caio Vidal

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target20%

A. Camara

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target14%

K. Duah

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Rwan Cruz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target13%

Erick Marcus

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots AZ Alkmaar

R. van Bommel

Shots on Target/Game2.3

+0.5 On Target80%

+1.5 On Target40%

K. Belić

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

S. Mijnans

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target20%

E. Poku

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target30%

D. Kasius

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ludogorets xG (home)0.96

AZ Alkmaar xG (away)1.83

Average Possession

46.22% Possession 46.42%

Team Comparison Ludogorets vs AZ Alkmaar

78.75% Pass accuracy 79.42%

397.25 Passes per match 424.67

0.29 Goals prevented -0.3

11.11 Fouls committed 14.67

4.89 Goalkeeper saves 2.67

1.56 Offsides 2.17

17.13 Tackles per match 18.08

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ludogorets vs AZ Alkmaar prediction analysis

Review Ludogorets vs AZ Alkmaar with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights