Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Ludogorets vs FC Midtjylland

Ludogorets vs FC Midtjylland prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-01-23 20:00
Ludogorets
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
FC Midtjylland
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
25%
2
27%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Ludogorets (Home)

Goals scored / match1.4
Goals conceded / match1.6
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate40%

FC Midtjylland (Away)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.8
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate20%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ludogorets
DLDDL
FC Midtjylland
LLDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 60%
40% +1.5 60%
20% +2.5 0%
20% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 20%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Ludogorets averages 1.4 goals scored at home, while FC Midtjylland averages 1.2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
25%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 4

Jan 2025 Ludogorets 0 - 2 FC Midtjylland Away
Dec 2021 Ludogorets 0 - 0 FC Midtjylland Draw
Sep 2021 Ludogorets(A) 1 - 1 FC Midtjylland Draw
Aug 2020 Ludogorets 0 - 1 FC Midtjylland Away

In the last 4 meetings, Ludogorets won 0, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Ludogorets — unbeaten run (home)0
Ludogorets — scoring streak (home)0
FC Midtjylland — winless run (away)1
FC Midtjylland — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ludogorets Win (1)48%
Draw (X)25%
FC Midtjylland Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 60%
40% +1.5 60%
20% +2.5 0%
20% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 40%
60% -1.5 40%
80% -2.5 100%
80% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Ludogorets vs FC Midtjylland — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ludogorets — scored (home)1.4
Ludogorets — conceded (home)1.6
FC Midtjylland — scored (away)1.2
FC Midtjylland — conceded (away)1.8
Model expected combined goals2.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Ludogorets — BTTS matches (home)40%
FC Midtjylland — BTTS matches (away)20%
Combined (simple average)30%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.580%
Under 7.520%
Over 8.580%
Under 8.520%
Over 9.570%
Under 9.530%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ludogorets (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against6.8

FC Midtjylland (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ludogorets
9 10 14 11 15
FC Midtjylland
10 11 5 11 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.560%
Under 2.540%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Ludogorets (home)

For2.0

FC Midtjylland (away)

For1.2

Shots per Game

Ludogorets — total shots (home)12.3
FC Midtjylland — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

Ludogorets — on target (home)3.0
FC Midtjylland — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ludogorets

Inside the box5.75
Outside the box4.5

FC Midtjylland

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box2.5

Player Shots Ludogorets

Caio Vidal
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Camara
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
K. Duah
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Rwan Cruz
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
Erick Marcus
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots FC Midtjylland

A. Buksa
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
Franculino Djú
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
E. Chilufya
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
D. Osorio
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
V. Byskov
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ludogorets xG (home)0.96
FC Midtjylland xG (away)1.43

Average Possession

46.22% Possession 46.6%

Team Comparison Ludogorets vs FC Midtjylland

78.75% Pass accuracy 76.6%
397.25 Passes per match 384
0.29 Goals prevented 0.43
11.11 Fouls committed 11.8
4.89 Goalkeeper saves 4
1.56 Offsides 1.11
17.13 Tackles per match 17

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ludogorets vs FC Midtjylland prediction analysis

Review Ludogorets vs FC Midtjylland with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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