Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B

Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Segunda Liga 2026-08-09 15:00
Lusitânia Lourosa
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
FC Porto B
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
26%
2
35%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Lusitânia Lourosa (Home)

Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate59%

FC Porto B (Away)

Goals scored / match1.24
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lusitânia Lourosa
LLDWL
FC Porto B
WWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 71%
29% +1.5 29%
6% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Low.

Lusitânia Lourosa averages 1.12 goals scored at home, while FC Porto B averages 1.24 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
26%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2026 Lusitânia Lourosa 1 - 1 FC Porto B Draw
Nov 2025 Lusitânia Lourosa(A) 2 - 1 FC Porto B Home

In the last 2 meetings, Lusitânia Lourosa won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Lusitânia Lourosa — unbeaten run (home)0
Lusitânia Lourosa — scoring streak (home)3
FC Porto B — winless run (away)0
FC Porto B — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lusitânia Lourosa Win (1)39%
Draw (X)26%
FC Porto B Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 71%
29% +1.5 29%
6% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 29%
71% -1.5 71%
94% -2.5 82%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lusitânia Lourosa — scored (home)1.12
Lusitânia Lourosa — conceded (home)1.35
FC Porto B — scored (away)1.24
FC Porto B — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.68

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Lusitânia Lourosa — BTTS matches (home)59%
FC Porto B — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lusitânia Lourosa (home)

Corners for6.3
Corners against3.1

FC Porto B (away)

Corners for3.0
Corners against6.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lusitânia Lourosa
0 7 0 0 0
FC Porto B
0 5 0 0 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Lusitânia Lourosa (home)

For2.5

FC Porto B (away)

For2.8

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.544%
Under 19.556%
Over 22.535%
Under 22.565%
Over 25.527%
Under 25.573%
Expected total shots19.94

Lusitânia Lourosa

Shots Over 9.550%
Shots Over 11.538%
Shots Over 13.528%
Expected shots10.63
On Target Over 3.549%
On Target Over 4.533%
On Target Over 5.521%
Expected on target3.75

FC Porto B

Shots Over 9.541%
Shots Over 11.530%
Shots Over 13.521%
Expected shots9.31
On Target Over 3.546%
On Target Over 4.530%
On Target Over 5.518%
Expected on target3.59

Shots per Game

Lusitânia Lourosa — total shots (home)11.4
FC Porto B — total shots (away)9.7

Shots on Target

Lusitânia Lourosa — on target (home)3.3
FC Porto B — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lusitânia Lourosa

Inside the box6.69
Outside the box3.62

FC Porto B

Inside the box5.45
Outside the box4

Player Shots Lusitânia Lourosa

Tiago Dias
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Miguel Pereira
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
João Silva
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Fabinho
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
João Vasco
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots FC Porto B

L. Vonić
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Tiago Andrade
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Duarte Cunha
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Bernardo Lima
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
Felipe Silva
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lusitânia Lourosa xG (home)0
FC Porto B xG (away)0

Average Possession

48.08% Possession 46.82%

Team Comparison Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B

75.88% Pass accuracy 80.2%
331.08 Passes per match 352
0 Goals prevented 0
14.08 Fouls committed 14.27
3.46 Goalkeeper saves 2.91
1 Offsides 0.91
17 Tackles per match 13.83
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B prediction analysis

Review Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Segunda Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Segunda Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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