What markets are included in the Lyon vs Lens prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lyon vs Lens prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lyon vs Lens

Lyon vs Lens prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Ligue 1 2025-05-04 15:15

Lyon

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

56%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Lens

Away

Prediction Summary

45%

24%

31%

Over 2.5

56%

BTTS Yes

59%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Lyon (Home)

Goals scored / match2.18

Goals conceded / match1.24

Over 2.5 rate29%

BTTS rate59%

Lens (Away)

Goals scored / match1.35

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lyon

WLLWL

Lens

WDWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 82%

71% +1.5 47%

29% +2.5 6%

29% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

59% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lyon averages 2.18 goals scored at home, while Lens averages 1.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength

59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

45%

Draw

24%

Away Win

31%

Over 2.5

56%

BTTS Yes

59%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Lyon 0 - 4 Lens Away

Mar 2026 Lyon 2 - 2 Lens Draw

Aug 2025 Lyon(A) 1 - 0 Lens Home

May 2025 Lyon 1 - 2 Lens Away

Sep 2024 Lyon(A) 0 - 0 Lens Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Lyon won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Lyon — unbeaten run (home)1

Lyon — scoring streak (home)8

Lens — winless run (away)1

Lens — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lyon Win (1)45%

Draw (X)24%

Lens Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 82%

71% +1.5 47%

29% +2.5 6%

29% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 18%

29% -1.5 53%

71% -2.5 94%

71% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Lyon vs Lens — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lyon — scored (home)2.18

Lyon — conceded (home)1.24

Lens — scored (away)1.35

Lens — conceded (away)1

Model expected combined goals2.93

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%

No41%

Rate per Team

Lyon — BTTS matches (home)59%

Lens — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%

Under 4.59%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.585%

Under 6.515%

Over 7.576%

Under 7.524%

Over 8.565%

Under 8.535%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.535%

Under 10.565%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lyon (home)

Corners for5.5

Corners against4.5

Lens (away)

Corners for4.3

Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lyon

14 9 10 8 16

Lens

13 9 10 3 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.588%

Under 1.512%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Lyon (home)

For1.8

Lens (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

Lyon — total shots (home)14.5

Lens — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Lyon — on target (home)6.0

Lens — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lyon

Inside the box9.53

Outside the box3.53

Lens

Inside the box9.68

Outside the box4.71

Player Shots Lyon

A. Lacazette

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target37%

G. Orban

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

R. Cherki

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target13%

G. Mikautadze

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target18%

E. Nuamah

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Lens

F. Sotoca

Shots on Target/Game2.3

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target19%

G. Koyalipou

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target20%

M'Bala Nzola

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target29%

R. Aguilar

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

J. Chávez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lyon xG (home)1.8

Lens xG (away)1.57

Average Possession

56.62% Possession 54.06%

Team Comparison Lyon vs Lens

85.71% Pass accuracy 83.12%

517.71 Passes per match 488.06

0.04 Goals prevented 0.39

11.97 Fouls committed 14.68

3.53 Goalkeeper saves 3.03

2.29 Offsides 2.8

16.88 Tackles per match 17.94

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lyon vs Lens prediction analysis

Review Lyon vs Lens with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights