What markets are included in the Lyon vs Lille prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lyon vs Lille prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lyon vs Lille

Lyon vs Lille prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-04-05 19:05

Lyon

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

54%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Lille

Away

Prediction Summary

45%

25%

31%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Lyon (Home)

Goals scored / match2.18

Goals conceded / match1.24

Over 2.5 rate29%

BTTS rate59%

Lille (Away)

Goals scored / match1.24

Goals conceded / match1.06

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lyon

WLLWL

Lille

WLDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 71%

71% +1.5 47%

29% +2.5 6%

29% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

59% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lyon averages 2.18 goals scored at home, while Lille averages 1.24 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

45%

Draw

25%

Away Win

31%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Lyon 1 - 0 Lille Home

Jan 2026 Lyon(A) 2 - 1 Lille Home

Sep 2025 Lyon(A) 1 - 0 Lille Home

Apr 2025 Lyon 2 - 1 Lille Home

Nov 2024 Lyon(A) 1 - 1 Lille Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Lyon won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Lyon — unbeaten run (home)1

Lyon — scoring streak (home)8

Lille — winless run (away)1

Lille — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lyon Win (1)45%

Draw (X)25%

Lille Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 71%

71% +1.5 47%

29% +2.5 6%

29% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 29%

29% -1.5 53%

71% -2.5 94%

71% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Lyon vs Lille — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lyon — scored (home)2.18

Lyon — conceded (home)1.24

Lille — scored (away)1.24

Lille — conceded (away)1.06

Model expected combined goals2.85

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%

No43%

Rate per Team

Lyon — BTTS matches (home)59%

Lille — BTTS matches (away)41%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.576%

Under 7.524%

Over 8.565%

Under 8.535%

Over 9.547%

Under 9.553%

Over 10.535%

Under 10.565%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lyon (home)

Corners for5.5

Corners against4.5

Lille (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lyon

14 9 10 8 16

Lille

12 9 7 10 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Lyon (home)

For1.8

Lille (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Lyon — total shots (home)14.5

Lille — total shots (away)12.6

Shots on Target

Lyon — on target (home)6.0

Lille — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lyon

Inside the box9.53

Outside the box3.53

Lille

Inside the box9.03

Outside the box3.74

Player Shots Lyon

A. Lacazette

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target37%

G. Orban

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

R. Cherki

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target13%

G. Mikautadze

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target18%

E. Nuamah

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Lille

Tiago Santos

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target29%

J. David

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target31%

C. Akpom

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target21%

O. Sahraoui

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target7%

André Gomes

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target10%

+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lyon xG (home)1.8

Lille xG (away)1.64

Average Possession

56.62% Possession 57.94%

Team Comparison Lyon vs Lille

85.71% Pass accuracy 86.21%

517.71 Passes per match 541.15

0.04 Goals prevented 0.26

11.97 Fouls committed 12.06

3.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.82

2.29 Offsides 1.5

16.88 Tackles per match 18.41

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lyon vs Lille prediction analysis

Review Lyon vs Lille with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights