What markets are included in the Lyon vs Nantes prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lyon vs Nantes prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lyon vs Nantes

Lyon vs Nantes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-11-30 19:45

Lyon

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

39%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Nantes

Away

Prediction Summary

46%

28%

26%

Under 2.5

61%

BTTS No

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Lyon (Home)

Goals scored / match1.76

Goals conceded / match1.06

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate47%

Nantes (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lyon

LLWWW

Nantes

LWLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 47%

53% +1.5 18%

24% +2.5 0%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lyon averages 1.76 goals scored at home, while Nantes averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

46%

Draw

28%

Away Win

26%

Over 2.5

39%

BTTS Yes

44%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Lyon(A) 1 - 0 Nantes Home

Nov 2025 Lyon 3 - 0 Nantes Home

Jan 2025 Lyon(A) 1 - 1 Nantes Draw

Oct 2024 Lyon 2 - 0 Nantes Home

Apr 2024 Lyon(A) 3 - 1 Nantes Home

In the last 5 meetings, Lyon won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Lyon — unbeaten run (home)0

Lyon — scoring streak (home)0

Nantes — winless run (away)8

Nantes — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lyon Win (1)46%

Draw (X)28%

Nantes Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 47%

53% +1.5 18%

24% +2.5 0%

6% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 53%

47% -1.5 82%

76% -2.5 100%

94% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Lyon vs Nantes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lyon — scored (home)1.76

Lyon — conceded (home)1.06

Nantes — scored (away)0.65

Nantes — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals2.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%

No56%

Rate per Team

Lyon — BTTS matches (home)47%

Nantes — BTTS matches (away)41%

Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.541%

Under 10.559%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lyon (home)

Corners for6.5

Corners against4.1

Nantes (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lyon

18 9 12 15 28

Nantes

11 13 14 15 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.588%

Under 2.512%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Lyon (home)

For1.6

Nantes (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Lyon — total shots (home)13.5

Nantes — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Lyon — on target (home)4.8

Nantes — on target (away)3.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lyon

Inside the box8.32

Outside the box3.94

Nantes

Inside the box7.3

Outside the box4

Player Shots Lyon

Endrick

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target88%

+1.5 On Target44%

C. Tolisso

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target77%

+1.5 On Target10%

M. Fofana

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target17%

P. Šulc

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target19%

M. Satriano

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots Nantes

M. Abline

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target19%

I. Ganago

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target8%

M. Kaba

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

R. Cabella

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target18%

Y. El-Arabi

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lyon xG (home)1.57

Nantes xG (away)1.1

Average Possession

54.62% Possession 42.03%

Team Comparison Lyon vs Nantes

84.71% Pass accuracy 77.85%

466.88 Passes per match 349.06

0.12 Goals prevented 0.1

13 Fouls committed 12.76

2.76 Goalkeeper saves 3.27

1.4 Offsides 1.31

14.59 Tackles per match 17.21

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lyon vs Nantes prediction analysis

Review Lyon vs Nantes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights