Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Lyon vs Red Bull Salzburg

Lyon vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-10-02 19:00
Lyon
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-0
Red Bull Salzburg
Away

Prediction Summary

1
68%
X
18%
2
13%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Lyon (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate40%

Red Bull Salzburg (Away)

Goals scored / match0.75
Goals conceded / match2.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lyon
LDWWW
Red Bull Salzburg
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 50%
80% +1.5 25%
20% +2.5 0%
20% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lyon averages 2 goals scored at home, while Red Bull Salzburg averages 0.75 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
68%
Draw
18%
Away Win
13%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2025 Lyon 2 - 0 Red Bull Salzburg Home

In the last 1 meetings, Lyon won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Lyon — unbeaten run (home)0
Lyon — scoring streak (home)0
Red Bull Salzburg — winless run (away)4
Red Bull Salzburg — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Lyon Win (1)68%
Draw (X)18%
Red Bull Salzburg Win (2)13%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 50%
80% +1.5 25%
20% +2.5 0%
20% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 50%
20% -1.5 75%
80% -2.5 100%
80% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Lyon vs Red Bull Salzburg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lyon — scored (home)2
Lyon — conceded (home)1
Red Bull Salzburg — scored (away)0.75
Red Bull Salzburg — conceded (away)2.5
Model expected combined goals3.13

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Lyon — BTTS matches (home)40%
Red Bull Salzburg — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.578%
Under 4.522%
Over 5.568%
Under 5.532%
Over 6.545%
Under 6.555%
Over 7.535%
Under 7.565%
Over 8.513%
Under 8.587%
Over 9.513%
Under 9.587%
Over 10.513%
Under 10.587%
Expected total corners (blended average)6.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lyon (home)

Corners for3.4
Corners against2.4

Red Bull Salzburg (away)

Corners for1.8
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lyon
8 6 5 7 7
Red Bull Salzburg
7 8 12 10 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.543%
Under 2.557%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Lyon (home)

For1.2

Red Bull Salzburg (away)

For1.3

Shots per Game

Lyon — total shots (home)14.6
Red Bull Salzburg — total shots (away)10.0

Shots on Target

Lyon — on target (home)5.4
Red Bull Salzburg — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lyon

Inside the box9.5
Outside the box5.1

Red Bull Salzburg

Inside the box8.13
Outside the box5.38

Player Shots Lyon

C. Tolisso
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target29%
Afonso Moreira
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target43%
R. Himbert
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
T. Tessmann
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Fofana
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%

Player Shots Red Bull Salzburg

E. Baidoo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
Y. Vertessen
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target14%
K. Konaté
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target29%
S. Kitano
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lyon xG (home)1.88
Red Bull Salzburg xG (away)1.48

Average Possession

61.2% Possession 45%

Team Comparison Lyon vs Red Bull Salzburg

88.4% Pass accuracy 82.25%
588.6 Passes per match 433.63
0.12 Goals prevented -0
11.5 Fouls committed 11.38
2.7 Goalkeeper saves 4.13
2.1 Offsides 2.38
14.3 Tackles per match 17.63

League average xG this season is 1.39 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lyon vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction analysis

Review Lyon vs Red Bull Salzburg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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