What markets are included in the Lyon vs Rennes prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Lyon vs Rennes prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Lyon vs Rennes

Lyon vs Rennes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2025-04-26 19:05

Lyon

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

64%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Rennes

Away

Prediction Summary

49%

22%

29%

Over 2.5

64%

BTTS Yes

65%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Lyon (Home)

Goals scored / match2.18

Goals conceded / match1.24

Over 2.5 rate29%

BTTS rate59%

Rennes (Away)

Goals scored / match1.53

Goals conceded / match1.94

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lyon

WLLWL

Rennes

LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 76%

71% +1.5 41%

29% +2.5 18%

29% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 6%

59% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 64%. Model confidence is Medium.

Lyon averages 2.18 goals scored at home, while Rennes averages 1.53 goals scored away.

Model Strength

65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

49%

Draw

22%

Away Win

29%

Over 2.5

64%

BTTS Yes

65%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Lyon 4 - 2 Rennes Home

Sep 2025 Lyon(A) 1 - 3 Rennes Away

Apr 2025 Lyon 4 - 1 Rennes Home

Aug 2024 Lyon(A) 0 - 3 Rennes Away

Jan 2024 Lyon 2 - 3 Rennes Away

In the last 5 meetings, Lyon won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Lyon — unbeaten run (home)1

Lyon — scoring streak (home)8

Rennes — winless run (away)3

Rennes — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Lyon Win (1)49%

Draw (X)22%

Rennes Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 76%

71% +1.5 41%

29% +2.5 18%

29% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 24%

29% -1.5 59%

71% -2.5 82%

71% -3.5 88%

100% -4.5 94%

Lyon vs Rennes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Lyon — scored (home)2.18

Lyon — conceded (home)1.24

Rennes — scored (away)1.53

Rennes — conceded (away)1.94

Model expected combined goals3.32

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%

No35%

Rate per Team

Lyon — BTTS matches (home)59%

Rennes — BTTS matches (away)59%

Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.577%

Under 6.523%

Over 7.568%

Under 7.532%

Over 8.562%

Under 8.538%

Over 9.547%

Under 9.553%

Over 10.533%

Under 10.567%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Lyon (home)

Corners for5.5

Corners against4.5

Rennes (away)

Corners for4.2

Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lyon

14 9 10 8 16

Rennes

12 9 11 6 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.588%

Under 1.512%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Lyon (home)

For1.8

Rennes (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Lyon — total shots (home)14.5

Rennes — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Lyon — on target (home)6.0

Rennes — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Lyon

Inside the box9.53

Outside the box3.53

Rennes

Inside the box8.38

Outside the box4.29

Player Shots Lyon

A. Lacazette

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target37%

G. Orban

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

R. Cherki

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target13%

G. Mikautadze

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target18%

E. Nuamah

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Rennes

A. Kalimuendo

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target21%

Mousa Tamari

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

J. Jacquet

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Rouault

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Gouiri

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lyon xG (home)1.8

Rennes xG (away)1.45

Average Possession

56.62% Possession 51.12%

Team Comparison Lyon vs Rennes

85.71% Pass accuracy 84.12%

517.71 Passes per match 456.29

0.04 Goals prevented -0.02

11.97 Fouls committed 13.09

3.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.65

2.29 Offsides 1.41

16.88 Tackles per match 17.59

League average xG this season is 1.51 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Lyon vs Rennes prediction analysis

Review Lyon vs Rennes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights