Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Lyon

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Lyon prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
UEFA Europa League 2025-11-27 20:00
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Lyon
Away

Prediction Summary

1
23%
X
22%
2
54%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Maccabi Tel Aviv (Home)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match2.83
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate50%

Lyon (Away)

Goals scored / match1.8
Goals conceded / match0.6
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate20%

Team Form last 5 matches

Maccabi Tel Aviv
LLLLL
Lyon
LDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

50% +0.5 80%
33% +1.5 20%
33% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 20%
0% +4.5 20%
50% BTTS 20%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Maccabi Tel Aviv averages 1.17 goals scored at home, while Lyon averages 1.8 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
23%
Draw
22%
Away Win
54%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2025 Maccabi Tel Aviv 0 - 6 Lyon Away

In the last 1 meetings, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Maccabi Tel Aviv — unbeaten run (home)0
Maccabi Tel Aviv — scoring streak (home)0
Lyon — winless run (away)1
Lyon — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Maccabi Tel Aviv Win (1)23%
Draw (X)22%
Lyon Win (2)54%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

50% +0.5 80%
33% +1.5 20%
33% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 20%
0% +4.5 20%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

50% -0.5 20%
67% -1.5 80%
67% -2.5 80%
100% -3.5 80%
100% -4.5 80%

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Lyon — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Maccabi Tel Aviv — scored (home)1.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv — conceded (home)2.83
Lyon — scored (away)1.8
Lyon — conceded (away)0.6
Model expected combined goals3.08

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

Maccabi Tel Aviv — BTTS matches (home)50%
Lyon — BTTS matches (away)20%
Combined (simple average)35%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.574%
Under 4.526%
Over 5.574%
Under 5.526%
Over 6.564%
Under 6.536%
Over 7.554%
Under 7.546%
Over 8.535%
Under 8.565%
Over 9.525%
Under 9.575%
Over 10.517%
Under 10.583%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Maccabi Tel Aviv (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.2

Lyon (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against1.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Maccabi Tel Aviv
4 3 9 9 14
Lyon
8 6 5 7 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Maccabi Tel Aviv (home)

For1.5

Lyon (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Maccabi Tel Aviv — total shots (home)10.8
Lyon — total shots (away)14.6

Shots on Target

Maccabi Tel Aviv — on target (home)3.8
Lyon — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Inside the box4.75
Outside the box2.63

Lyon

Inside the box9.5
Outside the box5.1

Player Shots Maccabi Tel Aviv

S. Yehezkel
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
Dor Peretz
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Farhi
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
R. Revivo
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Madmon
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Lyon

C. Tolisso
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target29%
Afonso Moreira
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target43%
R. Himbert
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
T. Tessmann
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Fofana
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Maccabi Tel Aviv xG (home)0.78
Lyon xG (away)1.88

Average Possession

43.2% Possession 61.2%

Team Comparison Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Lyon

81.38% Pass accuracy 88.4%
349 Passes per match 588.6
0.35 Goals prevented 0.12
13.6 Fouls committed 11.5
3.4 Goalkeeper saves 2.7
1.56 Offsides 2.1
15.25 Tackles per match 14.3

League average xG this season is 1.39 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Lyon prediction analysis

Review Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Lyon with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top