Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2026-07-30 16:00
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
68%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Sheriff Tiraspol
Away

Prediction Summary

1
32%
X
22%
2
46%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
68%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Maccabi Tel Aviv (Home)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match2.83
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate50%

Sheriff Tiraspol (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Maccabi Tel Aviv
WLLLL
Sheriff Tiraspol
LWDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

50% +0.5 100%
33% +1.5 0%
33% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 68%. Model confidence is Medium.

Maccabi Tel Aviv averages 1.17 goals scored at home, while Sheriff Tiraspol averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
32%
Draw
22%
Away Win
46%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
68%

Head-to-Head last 1

Jul 2026 Maccabi Tel Aviv(A) 5 - 0 Sheriff Tiraspol Home

In the last 1 meetings, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Maccabi Tel Aviv — unbeaten run (home)0
Maccabi Tel Aviv — scoring streak (home)0
Sheriff Tiraspol — winless run (away)0
Sheriff Tiraspol — clean sheets (away, last 3)1 of 3

1X2 Probability model

Maccabi Tel Aviv Win (1)32%
Draw (X)22%
Sheriff Tiraspol Win (2)46%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

50% +0.5 100%
33% +1.5 0%
33% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

50% -0.5 0%
67% -1.5 100%
67% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Maccabi Tel Aviv — scored (home)1.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv — conceded (home)2.83
Sheriff Tiraspol — scored (away)1
Sheriff Tiraspol — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes68%
No32%

Rate per Team

Maccabi Tel Aviv — BTTS matches (home)50%
Sheriff Tiraspol — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)58.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Maccabi Tel Aviv (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.2

Sheriff Tiraspol (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Maccabi Tel Aviv
3 9 9 14 0
Sheriff Tiraspol
0 0 0 0 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.584%
Under 0.516%
Over 1.575%
Under 1.525%
Over 2.567%
Under 2.533%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Maccabi Tel Aviv (home)

For1.5

Sheriff Tiraspol (away)

For1.0

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.569%
Under 19.531%
Over 22.556%
Under 22.544%
Over 25.544%
Under 25.556%
Expected total shots25.10

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Shots Over 9.575%
Shots Over 11.561%
Shots Over 13.547%
Expected shots13.80
On Target Over 3.567%
On Target Over 4.551%
On Target Over 5.537%
Expected on target4.93

Sheriff Tiraspol

Shots Over 9.560%
Shots Over 11.544%
Shots Over 13.530%
Expected shots11.31
On Target Over 3.557%
On Target Over 4.541%
On Target Over 5.527%
Expected on target4.24

Shots per Game

Maccabi Tel Aviv — total shots (home)10.8
Sheriff Tiraspol — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Maccabi Tel Aviv — on target (home)3.8
Sheriff Tiraspol — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Inside the box4.75
Outside the box2.63

Sheriff Tiraspol

Inside the box0
Outside the box0

Player Shots Maccabi Tel Aviv

S. Yehezkel
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
Dor Peretz
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Farhi
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
R. Revivo
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Madmon
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Sheriff Tiraspol

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Maccabi Tel Aviv xG (home)0.78
Sheriff Tiraspol xG (away)0

Average Possession

43.2% Possession 0%

Team Comparison Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol

81.38% Pass accuracy 0%
349 Passes per match 0
0.35 Goals prevented 0
13.6 Fouls committed 0
3.4 Goalkeeper saves 0
1.56 Offsides 0
15.25 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.39 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol prediction analysis

Review Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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