Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Mallorca vs Athletic Club

Mallorca vs Athletic Club prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2024-10-28 20:00
Mallorca
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Athletic Club
Away

Prediction Summary

1
35%
X
28%
2
37%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Mallorca (Home)

Goals scored / match1.05
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Athletic Club (Away)

Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match0.84
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Mallorca
DLLWL
Athletic Club
LWWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 74%
26% +1.5 37%
5% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Mallorca averages 1.05 goals scored at home, while Athletic Club averages 1.16 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
35%
Draw
28%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Mallorca 3 - 2 Athletic Club Home
Oct 2025 Mallorca(A) 1 - 2 Athletic Club Away
Mar 2025 Mallorca(A) 1 - 1 Athletic Club Draw
Oct 2024 Mallorca 0 - 0 Athletic Club Draw
Apr 2024 Mallorca(A) 1 - 1 Athletic Club Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Mallorca won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Mallorca — unbeaten run (home)0
Mallorca — scoring streak (home)2
Athletic Club — winless run (away)0
Athletic Club — clean sheets (away, last 5)4 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Mallorca Win (1)35%
Draw (X)28%
Athletic Club Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 74%
26% +1.5 37%
5% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 26%
74% -1.5 63%
95% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Mallorca vs Athletic Club — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Mallorca — scored (home)1.05
Mallorca — conceded (home)1.11
Athletic Club — scored (away)1.16
Athletic Club — conceded (away)0.84
Model expected combined goals2.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Mallorca — BTTS matches (home)63%
Athletic Club — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Mallorca (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against5.8

Athletic Club (away)

Corners for4.9
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Mallorca
7 15 26 7 13
Athletic Club
10 11 7 8 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.569%
Under 2.531%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Mallorca (home)

For1.8

Athletic Club (away)

For1.6

Shots per Game

Mallorca — total shots (home)11.3
Athletic Club — total shots (away)11.1

Shots on Target

Mallorca — on target (home)3.4
Athletic Club — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Mallorca

Inside the box7.37
Outside the box2.82

Athletic Club

Inside the box8.16
Outside the box4.16

Player Shots Mallorca

V. Muriqi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target14%
Valery
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target6%
C. Larin
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target9%
Raíllo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target6%
Dani Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Athletic Club

Ander Herrera
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
De Marcos
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target4%
+1.5 On Target4%
I. Williams
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target20%
Mikel Vesga
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target4%
Nico Williams
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Mallorca xG (home)1.02
Athletic Club xG (away)1.4

Average Possession

46.61% Possession 48.45%

Team Comparison Mallorca vs Athletic Club

79.37% Pass accuracy 80.39%
381.89 Passes per match 409.08
-0.01 Goals prevented 0.03
12.26 Fouls committed 12.68
3.38 Goalkeeper saves 2.24
2.23 Offsides 1.79
15.42 Tackles per match 15.11

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Mallorca vs Athletic Club prediction analysis

Review Mallorca vs Athletic Club with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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