What markets are included in the Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid

Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-09-21 14:15

Mallorca

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

50%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Atletico Madrid

Away

Prediction Summary

46%

25%

29%

O/U 2.5 · No edge

50%

BTTS Yes

54%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Mallorca (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match1.11

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate68%

Atletico Madrid (Away)

Goals scored / match1.21

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Mallorca

WLLDW

Atletico Madrid

LWWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 84%

42% +1.5 32%

26% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

68% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Mallorca averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Atletico Madrid averages 1.21 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

46%

Draw

25%

Away Win

29%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Yes

54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Mallorca(A) 0 - 3 Atletico Madrid Away

Sep 2025 Mallorca 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid Draw

Feb 2025 Mallorca(A) 0 - 2 Atletico Madrid Away

Nov 2024 Mallorca 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid Away

May 2024 Mallorca 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid Away

In the last 5 meetings, Mallorca won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Mallorca — unbeaten run (home)6

Mallorca — scoring streak (home)6

Atletico Madrid — winless run (away)1

Atletico Madrid — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Mallorca Win (1)46%

Draw (X)25%

Atletico Madrid Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 84%

42% +1.5 32%

26% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 16%

58% -1.5 68%

74% -2.5 95%

95% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Mallorca — scored (home)1.63

Mallorca — conceded (home)1.11

Atletico Madrid — scored (away)1.21

Atletico Madrid — conceded (away)1.42

Model expected combined goals2.68

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%

No46%

Rate per Team

Mallorca — BTTS matches (home)68%

Atletico Madrid — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.592%

Under 6.58%

Over 7.582%

Under 7.518%

Over 8.579%

Under 8.521%

Over 9.558%

Under 9.542%

Over 10.543%

Under 10.557%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Mallorca (home)

Corners for4.0

Corners against5.9

Atletico Madrid (away)

Corners for5.2

Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Mallorca

7 9 6 10 10

Atletico Madrid

8 10 12 17 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Mallorca (home)

For2.1

Atletico Madrid (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Mallorca — total shots (home)12.9

Atletico Madrid — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Mallorca — on target (home)4.9

Atletico Madrid — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Mallorca

Inside the box7.29

Outside the box3.58

Atletico Madrid

Inside the box9.13

Outside the box3.97

Player Shots Mallorca

V. Muriqi

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target35%

Zito Luvumbo

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target10%

Jan Virgili

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target13%

M. Joseph

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target10%

Samú Costa

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Atletico Madrid

A. Sørloth

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target31%

J. Álvarez

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target24%

N. González

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target29%

A. Griezmann

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target15%

G. Simeone

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Mallorca xG (home)1.14

Atletico Madrid xG (away)1.55

Average Possession

47% Possession 53.32%

Team Comparison Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid

79.79% Pass accuracy 84.95%

397.13 Passes per match 505.37

0.02 Goals prevented 0.13

12.29 Fouls committed 11.18

3.03 Goalkeeper saves 2.55

1.43 Offsides 2.19

14.74 Tackles per match 17.03

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid prediction analysis

Review Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights