Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Mallorca vs Espanyol

Mallorca vs Espanyol prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-03-15 15:15
Mallorca
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
39%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Espanyol
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
27%
2
22%
Under 2.5
61%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Mallorca (Home)

Goals scored / match1.05
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Espanyol (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.63
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Mallorca
DLLWL
Espanyol
WLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 63%
26% +1.5 16%
5% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Mallorca averages 1.05 goals scored at home, while Espanyol averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
27%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Mallorca 2 - 1 Espanyol Home
Sep 2025 Mallorca(A) 2 - 3 Espanyol Away
Mar 2025 Mallorca 2 - 1 Espanyol Home
Oct 2024 Mallorca(A) 1 - 2 Espanyol Away
Feb 2023 Mallorca(A) 1 - 2 Espanyol Away

In the last 5 meetings, Mallorca won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Mallorca — unbeaten run (home)0
Mallorca — scoring streak (home)2
Espanyol — winless run (away)4
Espanyol — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Mallorca Win (1)51%
Draw (X)27%
Espanyol Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 63%
26% +1.5 16%
5% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 37%
74% -1.5 84%
95% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Mallorca vs Espanyol — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Mallorca — scored (home)1.05
Mallorca — conceded (home)1.11
Espanyol — scored (away)0.89
Espanyol — conceded (away)1.63
Model expected combined goals2.24

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

Mallorca — BTTS matches (home)63%
Espanyol — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Mallorca (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against5.8

Espanyol (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Mallorca
7 15 26 7 13
Espanyol
10 11 6 14 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Mallorca (home)

For1.8

Espanyol (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Mallorca — total shots (home)11.3
Espanyol — total shots (away)8.8

Shots on Target

Mallorca — on target (home)3.4
Espanyol — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Mallorca

Inside the box7.37
Outside the box2.82

Espanyol

Inside the box5.79
Outside the box3.58

Player Shots Mallorca

V. Muriqi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target14%
Valery
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target6%
C. Larin
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target9%
Raíllo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target6%
Dani Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Espanyol

Javi Puado
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target20%
Roberto Fernández
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target11%
A. Véliz
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target4%
Edu Expósito
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target5%
L. Cabrera
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Mallorca xG (home)1.02
Espanyol xG (away)0.9

Average Possession

46.61% Possession 39.55%

Team Comparison Mallorca vs Espanyol

79.37% Pass accuracy 76.58%
381.89 Passes per match 328.29
-0.01 Goals prevented -0.04
12.26 Fouls committed 13.11
3.38 Goalkeeper saves 3.82
2.23 Offsides 1.74
15.42 Tackles per match 16.84

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Mallorca vs Espanyol prediction analysis

Review Mallorca vs Espanyol with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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