Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Mallorca vs Getafe

Mallorca vs Getafe prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-11-09 17:30
Mallorca
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
39%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Getafe
Away

Prediction Summary

1
37%
X
29%
2
34%
Under 2.5
61%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Mallorca (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate68%

Getafe (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate26%

Team Form last 5 matches

Mallorca
WLLDW
Getafe
WLWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 53%
42% +1.5 21%
26% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
68% BTTS 26%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Mallorca averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Getafe averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
37%
Draw
29%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Mallorca(A) 1 - 3 Getafe Away
Nov 2025 Mallorca 1 - 0 Getafe Home
May 2025 Mallorca 1 - 2 Getafe Away
Dec 2024 Mallorca(A) 1 - 0 Getafe Home
May 2024 Mallorca(A) 2 - 1 Getafe Home

In the last 5 meetings, Mallorca won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Mallorca — unbeaten run (home)6
Mallorca — scoring streak (home)6
Getafe — winless run (away)2
Getafe — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Mallorca Win (1)37%
Draw (X)29%
Getafe Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 53%
42% +1.5 21%
26% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 47%
58% -1.5 79%
74% -2.5 100%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Mallorca vs Getafe — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Mallorca — scored (home)1.63
Mallorca — conceded (home)1.11
Getafe — scored (away)0.74
Getafe — conceded (away)1.16
Model expected combined goals2.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

Mallorca — BTTS matches (home)68%
Getafe — BTTS matches (away)26%
Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Mallorca (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.9

Getafe (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Mallorca
7 9 6 10 10
Getafe
5 10 6 4 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Mallorca (home)

For2.1

Getafe (away)

For3.4

Shots per Game

Mallorca — total shots (home)12.9
Getafe — total shots (away)9.5

Shots on Target

Mallorca — on target (home)4.9
Getafe — on target (away)2.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Mallorca

Inside the box7.29
Outside the box3.58

Getafe

Inside the box5.58
Outside the box3.66

Player Shots Mallorca

V. Muriqi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target35%
Zito Luvumbo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target10%
Jan Virgili
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Joseph
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target10%
Samú Costa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Getafe

M. Satriano
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target17%
L. Vázquez
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%
M. Arambarri
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target8%
Borja Mayoral
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target0%
Adrian Liso
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Mallorca xG (home)1.14
Getafe xG (away)0.79

Average Possession

47% Possession 40.08%

Team Comparison Mallorca vs Getafe

79.79% Pass accuracy 68.08%
397.13 Passes per match 286.84
0.02 Goals prevented 0.08
12.29 Fouls committed 15.21
3.03 Goalkeeper saves 3.11
1.43 Offsides 2.39
14.74 Tackles per match 18.05

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Mallorca vs Getafe prediction analysis

Review Mallorca vs Getafe with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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