Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Mallorca vs Girona

Mallorca vs Girona prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2026-01-04 17:30
Mallorca
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-0
Girona
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
25%
2
23%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Mallorca (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate68%

Girona (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Mallorca
WLLDW
Girona
DLDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 74%
42% +1.5 21%
26% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
68% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Mallorca averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Girona averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
25%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Mallorca(A) 1 - 0 Girona Home
Jan 2026 Mallorca 1 - 2 Girona Away
May 2025 Mallorca(A) 0 - 1 Girona Away
Dec 2024 Mallorca 2 - 1 Girona Home
Mar 2024 Mallorca 1 - 0 Girona Home

In the last 5 meetings, Mallorca won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Mallorca — unbeaten run (home)6
Mallorca — scoring streak (home)6
Girona — winless run (away)9
Girona — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Mallorca Win (1)52%
Draw (X)25%
Girona Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 74%
42% +1.5 21%
26% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 26%
58% -1.5 79%
74% -2.5 100%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Mallorca vs Girona — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Mallorca — scored (home)1.63
Mallorca — conceded (home)1.11
Girona — scored (away)0.95
Girona — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals2.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Mallorca — BTTS matches (home)68%
Girona — BTTS matches (away)68%
Combined (simple average)68%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.587%
Under 7.513%
Over 8.576%
Under 8.524%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Mallorca (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.9

Girona (away)

Corners for3.6
Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Mallorca
7 9 6 10 10
Girona
7 14 9 17 3

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Mallorca (home)

For2.1

Girona (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Mallorca — total shots (home)12.9
Girona — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Mallorca — on target (home)4.9
Girona — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Mallorca

Inside the box7.29
Outside the box3.58

Girona

Inside the box7.24
Outside the box3.95

Player Shots Mallorca

V. Muriqi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target35%
Zito Luvumbo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target10%
Jan Virgili
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Joseph
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target10%
Samú Costa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Girona

A. Ounahi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target21%
V. Vanat
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target15%
V. Tsygankov
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target6%
C. Stuani
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target10%
Joel Roca
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Mallorca xG (home)1.14
Girona xG (away)1.27

Average Possession

47% Possession 50.63%

Team Comparison Mallorca vs Girona

79.79% Pass accuracy 85.03%
397.13 Passes per match 467.16
0.02 Goals prevented 0.22
12.29 Fouls committed 10.74
3.03 Goalkeeper saves 3.35
1.43 Offsides 1.95
14.74 Tackles per match 15.42

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Mallorca vs Girona prediction analysis

Review Mallorca vs Girona with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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