Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Mallorca vs Valladolid

Mallorca vs Valladolid prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Segunda División 2026-08-16 15:00
Mallorca
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Mallorca
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Valladolid
Away

Prediction Summary

1
58%
X
24%
2
18%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Mallorca (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Valladolid (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate48%

Team Form last 5 matches

Valladolid
LLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 62%
0% +1.5 19%
0% +2.5 14%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 48%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Mallorca averages 0 goals scored at home, while Valladolid averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
58%
Draw
24%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
44%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2025 Mallorca 2 - 1 Valladolid Home
Sep 2024 Mallorca(A) 2 - 1 Valladolid Home
Apr 2023 Mallorca(A) 3 - 3 Valladolid Draw
Jan 2023 Mallorca 1 - 0 Valladolid Home
Feb 2020 Mallorca 0 - 1 Valladolid Away

In the last 5 meetings, Mallorca won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Valladolid — winless run (away)10
Valladolid — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Mallorca Win (1)58%
Draw (X)24%
Valladolid Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 62%
0% +1.5 19%
0% +2.5 14%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 38%
100% -1.5 81%
100% -2.5 86%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Mallorca vs Valladolid — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Mallorca — scored (home)0
Mallorca — conceded (home)0
Valladolid — scored (away)1
Valladolid — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals2.43

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%
No56%

Rate per Team

Mallorca — BTTS matches (home)0%
Valladolid — BTTS matches (away)48%
Combined (simple average)24%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Mallorca (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Valladolid (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Valladolid
10 6 8 9 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.545%
Under 1.555%
Over 2.545%
Under 2.555%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Mallorca (home)

For—

Valladolid (away)

For2.9

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.557%
Under 22.543%
Over 25.541%
Under 25.559%
Expected total shots24.42

Mallorca

Shots Over 9.579%
Shots Over 11.563%
Shots Over 13.547%
Expected shots13.55
On Target Over 3.567%
On Target Over 4.550%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.76

Valladolid

Shots Over 9.559%
Shots Over 11.541%
Shots Over 13.525%
Expected shots10.86
On Target Over 3.547%
On Target Over 4.529%
On Target Over 5.517%
Expected on target3.56

Shots per Game

Mallorca — total shots (home)—
Valladolid — total shots (away)10.9

Shots on Target

Mallorca — on target (home)—
Valladolid — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Mallorca

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Valladolid

Inside the box8.43
Outside the box3.98

Player Shots Mallorca

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Valladolid

Juanmi Latasa
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target18%
Marcos André
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target9%
Peter
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target11%
Sergi Canós
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target10%
Guille Bueno
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Mallorca xG (home)-
Valladolid xG (away)1.41

Average Possession

-% Possession 49.67%

Team Comparison Mallorca vs Valladolid

0% Pass accuracy 73.27%
- Passes per match 390.07
- Goals prevented 0
- Fouls committed 15.6
- Goalkeeper saves 2.63
- Offsides 2.46
- Tackles per match 18.57

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Mallorca vs Valladolid prediction analysis

Review Mallorca vs Valladolid with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Segunda División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Segunda División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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