Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Mallorca vs Valladolid

Mallorca vs Valladolid prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-05-10 16:30
Mallorca
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-0
Valladolid
Away

Prediction Summary

1
63%
X
20%
2
16%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Mallorca (Home)

Goals scored / match1.05
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Valladolid (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match3.05
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Mallorca
DLLWL
Valladolid
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 63%
26% +1.5 11%
5% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Mallorca averages 1.05 goals scored at home, while Valladolid averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
63%
Draw
20%
Away Win
16%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2025 Mallorca 2 - 1 Valladolid Home
Sep 2024 Mallorca(A) 2 - 1 Valladolid Home
Apr 2023 Mallorca(A) 3 - 3 Valladolid Draw
Jan 2023 Mallorca 1 - 0 Valladolid Home
Feb 2020 Mallorca 0 - 1 Valladolid Away

In the last 5 meetings, Mallorca won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Mallorca — unbeaten run (home)0
Mallorca — scoring streak (home)2
Valladolid — winless run (away)14
Valladolid — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Mallorca Win (1)63%
Draw (X)20%
Valladolid Win (2)16%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 63%
26% +1.5 11%
5% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 37%
74% -1.5 89%
95% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Mallorca vs Valladolid — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Mallorca — scored (home)1.05
Mallorca — conceded (home)1.11
Valladolid — scored (away)0.79
Valladolid — conceded (away)3.05
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Mallorca — BTTS matches (home)63%
Valladolid — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Mallorca (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against5.8

Valladolid (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Mallorca
7 15 26 7 13
Valladolid
12 15 10 14 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Mallorca (home)

For1.8

Valladolid (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Mallorca — total shots (home)11.3
Valladolid — total shots (away)8.1

Shots on Target

Mallorca — on target (home)3.4
Valladolid — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Mallorca

Inside the box7.37
Outside the box2.82

Valladolid

Inside the box5.66
Outside the box3.18

Player Shots Mallorca

V. Muriqi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target14%
Valery
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target6%
C. Larin
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target9%
Raíllo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target6%
Dani Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Valladolid

Juanmi Latasa
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%
Chuky San José
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. Amallah
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%
Mario Martín
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%
Kike Pérez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Mallorca xG (home)1.02
Valladolid xG (away)0.91

Average Possession

46.61% Possession 42.63%

Team Comparison Mallorca vs Valladolid

79.37% Pass accuracy 79.47%
381.89 Passes per match 364.5
-0.01 Goals prevented -0.4
12.26 Fouls committed 12.05
3.38 Goalkeeper saves 3.05
2.23 Offsides 1.76
15.42 Tackles per match 15.89

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Mallorca vs Valladolid prediction analysis

Review Mallorca vs Valladolid with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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