Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF

Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Allsvenskan 2026-08-09 12:00
Malmo FF
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Degerfors IF
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
22%
2
25%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Malmo FF (Home)

Goals scored / match1.69
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate31%
BTTS rate56%

Degerfors IF (Away)

Goals scored / match1.53
Goals conceded / match2.12
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Malmo FF
DWWWD
Degerfors IF
LLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

81% +0.5 65%
50% +1.5 47%
31% +2.5 24%
6% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 6%
56% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.

Malmo FF averages 1.69 goals scored at home, while Degerfors IF averages 1.53 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
22%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 Malmo FF(A) 1 - 0 Degerfors IF Home
Aug 2025 Malmo FF 1 - 1 Degerfors IF Draw
May 2025 Malmo FF(A) 4 - 1 Degerfors IF Home
Sep 2023 Malmo FF(A) 2 - 1 Degerfors IF Home
Jun 2023 Malmo FF 5 - 0 Degerfors IF Home

In the last 5 meetings, Malmo FF won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Malmo FF — unbeaten run (home)2
Malmo FF — scoring streak (home)4
Degerfors IF — winless run (away)2
Degerfors IF — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Malmo FF Win (1)52%
Draw (X)22%
Degerfors IF Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

81% +0.5 65%
50% +1.5 47%
31% +2.5 24%
6% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

19% -0.5 35%
50% -1.5 53%
69% -2.5 76%
94% -3.5 88%
100% -4.5 94%

Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Malmo FF — scored (home)1.69
Malmo FF — conceded (home)1
Degerfors IF — scored (away)1.53
Degerfors IF — conceded (away)2.12
Model expected combined goals3.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

Malmo FF — BTTS matches (home)56%
Degerfors IF — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)57.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.549%
Under 10.551%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Malmo FF (home)

Corners for7.3
Corners against3.0

Degerfors IF (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against7.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Malmo FF
6 9 12 16 7
Degerfors IF
24 11 15 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Malmo FF (home)

For1.9

Degerfors IF (away)

For2.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.579%
Under 19.521%
Over 22.566%
Under 22.534%
Over 25.552%
Under 25.548%
Expected total shots26.81

Malmo FF

Shots Over 9.586%
Shots Over 11.574%
Shots Over 13.560%
Expected shots15.50
On Target Over 3.569%
On Target Over 4.554%
On Target Over 5.540%
Expected on target5.10

Degerfors IF

Shots Over 9.562%
Shots Over 11.544%
Shots Over 13.529%
Expected shots11.31
On Target Over 3.545%
On Target Over 4.528%
On Target Over 5.517%
Expected on target3.49

Shots per Game

Malmo FF — total shots (home)18.1
Degerfors IF — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

Malmo FF — on target (home)5.6
Degerfors IF — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Malmo FF

Inside the box9.95
Outside the box5.2

Degerfors IF

Inside the box8.15
Outside the box4.8
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

Malmo FF xG (home)1.87
Degerfors IF xG (away)1.53

Average Possession

58.95% Possession 44.85%

Team Comparison Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF

84.8% Pass accuracy 77.25%
533.15 Passes per match 367.55
0 Goals prevented 0
11.65 Fouls committed 13.25
1.85 Goalkeeper saves 2.9
1.15 Offsides 1.67

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF prediction analysis

Review Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Allsvenskan.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Allsvenskan
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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